Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 021132 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
632 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
GENERALLY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY TO AROUND 20 KTS DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY AND DROP BACK TO 10 TO 15 KTS AFTER 01Z.
THERE IS A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT
THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING...THOUGH CHANCES ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION IN
TAFS AT THIS TIME. KDHT WOULD BE THE MOST LIKELY TO SEE ANY IMPACTS.

NF

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE PANHANDLES TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
WHICH WILL THEN SHIFT EAST OF THE PANHANDLES BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY BEFORE RETREATING BACK OVER THE EASTERN PANHANDLES
OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. SUBSIDENCE WILL ALLOW
FOR WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS THIS WEEK ALTHOUGH UNDERCUT MOS
GUIDANCE SLIGHTLY DUE TO RECENT RAINS AND GREEN VEGETATION.
CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE
LATE THIS WEEK AND LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW ACROSS THE PANHANDLES AND AN APPROACHING
CLOSED UPPER LOW FROM CALIFORNIA WILL ALLOW FOR SUB-TROPICAL
MOISTURE TO ADVECT AMPLE MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE NORTH AND
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES
ALONG WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED VORT MAXES BY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. CONVECTION
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND NIGHTTIME HOURS WHICH COULD POSSIBLY IMPACT
MAINLY THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.

SCHNEIDER

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

06/11




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