Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 300751
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
251 AM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW WAS LOCATED OVER BFF EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS
UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND WILL BE IN SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE INSTABILITY AXIS WILL LINE UP ACROSS
THE EASTERN CWA AND THIS INSTABILITY WILL STILL BE FOUND UNDER
THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE BROAD TROUGH ALOFT THROUGH TONIGHT.
THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE WITH THE MENTION OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN CWA THROUGH TONIGHT.

THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST FROM THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND IT WILL PASS ACROSS THE PANHANDLES ON
THURSDAY AS A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH. THERE MAY STILL BE SOME
LINGERING INSTABILITY ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PANHANDLES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THIS NEXT SHORT WAVE TROUGH. BUT THE BETTER
CHANCES OF RAIN WILL COME WITH THE SYSTEM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE CWA.

AFTER THURSDAY THE FORECAST GOES DRY AS A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
DOMINATES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE REST OF THIS WEEK. THE WINDS WILL GET STRONG BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY...BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE 20 PERCENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                83  52  83  53  71 /  10  10   5  10   5
BEAVER OK                  83  57  84  56  73 /  20  20  10  20  20
BOISE CITY OK              78  50  78  49  68 /   0   5   5  20  10
BORGER TX                  84  58  86  56  73 /  10  10   5  20   5
BOYS RANCH TX              83  53  82  53  73 /  10  10   0  10   5
CANYON TX                  83  56  83  53  72 /  10  10   0   5   5
CLARENDON TX               85  59  88  58  75 /  30  30  10  10  10
DALHART TX                 81  51  81  50  70 /   5   5   0  10   5
GUYMON OK                  82  53  83  53  71 /  10  10   5  20  10
HEREFORD TX                82  56  83  52  71 /  10  10   0   5   5
LIPSCOMB TX                83  60  86  57  73 /  30  30  10  20  20
PAMPA TX                   82  56  84  55  71 /  20  20  10  20  10
SHAMROCK TX                85  60  89  60  75 /  20  30  20  10  10
WELLINGTON TX              86  63  90  61  78 /  20  30  20  10  10

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

09/15



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