Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 202237
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
437 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FOR TONIGHT...A VERY SHALLOW LAYER OF MOIST AIR NEAR THE SFC WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN AREAS OF FREEZING FOG LATE TONIGHT INTO SUN MORNING
ACROSS MAINLY CNTRL AND ERN SECTIONS OF THE FCST AREA. HAVE PAINTED
THE GRIDS IN THAT MANNER. SOME OF THE FOG MAY BECOME DENSE AT
TIMES... BUT EXACTLY WHERE IS A TOUGH CALL AT THIS JUNCTURE. LATER
SHIFTS MAY NEED TO CONSIDER ISSUANCE OF SOME SORT OF HIGHLIGHT IF
WARRANTED.

FREEZING FOG AND LOW CLOUDS ARE FCST TO BURN OFF SUN MORNING. WARMER
TEMPS EXPECTED AS WELL. THE NEXT COLD FRONT AND THE ASSOCIATED FAST
MOVG VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROF ARE PROGGED TO IMPACT THE
REGION MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH
COLD FRONTAL TIMING DURG THE DAY ON MONDAY. AS THE UPPER LEVEL
SHORTWAVE TROF GETS CLOSER TO THE AREA...PRECIP THREAT WILL INCREASE
ACROSS OK PNHDL AND NWRN TX PNHDL MONDAY AND AREAWIDE MONDAY NIGHT.
SLGT CHC POPS WERE UTILIZED ACROSS OK PNHDL AND NWRN TX PNHDL ON
MONDAY. CHC POPS FOR MONDAY NIGHT...HIGHEST WRN AND SRN SECTIONS OF
TX PNHDL AND LOWEST FAR NERN ZONES. PRECIP WILL START OUT AS LIGHT
RAIN AND THEN TRANSITION TO LIGHT SNOW FROM NW TO SE MONDAY EVENING
AND NIGHT. DUE TO LIMITED MOISTURE AND THE FAST MOVG NATURE OF THE
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM ITSELF...SNOWFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW ONE INCH AT ANY ONE GIVEN LOCATION. RAPID IMPROVEMENT IN THE
WEATHER IS FCST LATE MONDAY NIGHT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS MON NIGHT AND TUESDAY. COOLER TEMPS FOR TUESDAY
FOLLOWED BY A MINOR WARMING TREND WED AND THURSDAY.

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT ON THE NEXT STRONG
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE SLATED FOR THURSDAY NIGHT...LEADING TO COOLER
TEMPS ONCE AGAIN FOR NEXT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. NO POPS AT THIS TIME.

ANDRADE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                27  57  36  58  24 /   0   0   0  10  50
BEAVER OK                  28  53  35  53  25 /   0   0   0  20  20
BOISE CITY OK              24  58  35  49  21 /   0   0   0  20  40
BORGER TX                  30  58  40  55  27 /   0   0   0  10  50
BOYS RANCH TX              25  58  35  57  22 /   0   0   0  10  50
CANYON TX                  27  58  35  59  24 /   0   0   0  10  50
CLARENDON TX               30  56  36  60  28 /   0   0   0  10  40
DALHART TX                 22  59  31  55  21 /   0   0   0  20  50
GUYMON OK                  24  59  36  53  23 /   0   0   0  20  40
HEREFORD TX                25  58  34  61  23 /   0   0   0  10  50
LIPSCOMB TX                29  53  35  55  27 /   0   0   0  10  30
PAMPA TX                   29  55  36  56  27 /   0   0   0  10  40
SHAMROCK TX                31  55  36  60  30 /   0   0   0  10  40
WELLINGTON TX              32  56  36  62  32 /   0   0   0  10  40

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$






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