Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 191707
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1207 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF Cycle

Upper high will allow for VFR conditions at all three TAF sites
through 18Z Wednesday. Diurnal fluctuations with the winds
expected...south to southwest 10 to 20 knots with some higher gusts
possible through 22Z today and 00Z Wednesday and again after 14Z to
16Z Wednesday...and then south to southeast 10 to 20 knots with some
higher gusts mainly between 00Z and 14Z Wednesday.

Schneider

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 629 AM CDT TUE JUL 19 2016/

AVIATION...
Southerly winds this morning will back some and increase by early
this afternoon. Winds will then decrease again to around 10 knots by
sunset. Skies should remain VFR.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 325 AM CDT TUE JUL 19 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Upper level analysis shows persistent upper ridge spinning over
the Southern Plains. Skies are generally clear with plenty of
subsidence per 00z sounding. At the surface...winds are generally
5-10kts from SSE with temperatures in the low to mid 70s.

With upper ridge in place... expect hot temperatures and dry
conditions to continue. Lowered high temperatures a degree or two
based on trends as backing winds during the afternoon have had
enough easterly component to keep highs around guidance. Towards
end of the week... models start sliding the high pressure westward
which will help increase highs into more triple digit territory.
By the weekend... some deamplification of the ridge is expected
which will allow a few weak disturbances to move over the area.
For now maintained slight pops and expanded a little further
south to include AMA.

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

11/9


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