Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 221109 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
509 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

.AVIATION...
LOW CLOUDS MAY TRY TO MAKE A RUN AT THE AMA TAF SITE EARLY IN THIS
FORECAST...BUT DO NOT BELIEVE THEY WILL MAKE A CEILING.
THEREFORE...SKIES SHOULD REMAIN VFR THROUGH THIS FORECAST. SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL PICK UP TO AROUND 15 KNOTS AT ALL TAF SITES BY LATE THIS
MORNING. HIGHER GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AT THE AMA TAF SITE.
WINDS WILL LIKELY STAY UP IN THE 10 TO 15 KNOT RANGE AHEAD OF A
CANADIAN COLD FRONT TONIGHT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 258 AM CST SAT NOV 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER NORTHERN MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EAST TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS. THINK THAT MOST
OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE
WILL STAY SOUTHEAST OF OUR CWA. WILL KEEP DENSE FOG ADVISORY
GOING FOR THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. LIGHT
WINDS AND MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE IN THIS AREA...SO
WOULD EXPECT TO SEE FOG EXPAND SOME.

AFTER THIS UPPER LOW MOVES OFF TO THE EAST OF TEXAS ANOTHER FAST
MOVING SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA. THIS
SHORT WAVE MAY BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS WITH IT
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA
AS WELL BEHIND A CANADIAN COLD FRONT. HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY BE
REACHED SUNDAY MORNING WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES IN THE AFTERNOON.
THE LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE COMBINED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL LIFT MAY BE
JUST ENOUGH TO SQUEEZE OUT SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION.

THE FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH THE REST OF THIS
FORECAST WITH VERY LITTLE IF ANY DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE
FLOW. SO DRY LOOKS LIKE THE WAY TO GO. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
MODERATE SOME NEXT WEEK TO AROUND OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COLLINGSWORTH...DONLEY...GRAY...HEMPHILL...
     LIPSCOMB...OCHILTREE...ROBERTS...WHEELER.

OK...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: BEAVER.


&&

$$

15/08




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