Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 242226 AAA
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
526 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2015

.AVIATION...
SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN VFR THROUGH THIS FORECAST. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND NORTH BEHIND A COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY MORNING.
WINDS WILL THEN PICK UP EVEN MORE DURING THE AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY.
WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH 40 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT TUE MAR 24 2015/

DISCUSSION...
NOT A LOT OF CHANGES MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FCST PCKG. GENERALLY DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS. A STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OK AND TX PNHDLS WEDNESDAY...WITH
WINDY CONDITIONS FOR SEVERAL HOURS BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY. DID INCREASE
WIND SPEEDS ACCORDINGLY FOR WED AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. LEFT IN SLGT CHC
POPS FOR FAR NWRN COUNTIES WED NIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROF
GRAZES THAT PART OF THE FCST AREA WED NIGHT.

COOLER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SLATED FOR MOST PERIODS FROM FRIDAY THRU NEXT TUESDAY AS
THE OVERALL UPPER AIR PATTERN FEATURES A WRN US RIDGE AND ERN US
TROF. MEDIUM RANGE MODELS DIFFER ON WHETHER OR NOT AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
UNDERCUTS THIS WRN US RIDGE EARLY NEXT WEEK TO BRING A THREAT OF
PRECIP NEXT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THIS FAR OUT IN TIME...HAVE
SIDED WITH MODEL CONSENSUS AND MAINTAINED A DRY FCST PENDING BETTER
MODEL AGREEMENT.

ANDRADE

FIRE WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE DUE TO BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH FORECAST MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
AROUND 20 PERCENT. NEITHER ELEVATED NOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED THURSDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO
EITHER 20 FOOT WINDS BELOW 15 MPH OR MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
ABOVE 20 PERCENT DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.

ANDRADE

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

15/16




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