Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 071934
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
234 PM CDT MON JUL 7 2014

.DISCUSSION...
NOT MUCH CHANGE IN CURRENT FORECAST AS SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL REMAIN
IN BETWEEN TWO UPPER LEVEL RIDGES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST WITH A TYPICAL SUMMER
PATTERN EXPECTED. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
WATERS IN THE MORNING AND THEN MOVE INLAND AS DAYTIME HEATING
COMMENCES. COVERAGE SHOULD THEN DECREASE AS THE SUNSETS.

LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MODELS TRY AND BUILD A BROAD UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OVER OKLAHOMA. BY THIS WEEKEND HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO
RISE TO 595 DM OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. MID 90S LOOK POSSIBLE
THIS WEEKEND AS 850 TEMPERATURES REMAIN AROUND 20C. NEXT WORK WEEK
MODELS DIFFER BUT BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF RETREAT THE RIDGE TO THE
WEST AND ALLOW A RETURN TO THIS WEEKS PATTERN. 23

&&

.MARINE...
AS SURFACE PRESSURES FALL TO THE WEST...EXPECT TO SEE A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN THE AREA`S ONSHORE WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THIS GENERALLY MODERATE FLOW SHOULD PERSIST
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH NO CAUTION OR ADVISORY FLAGS
ANTICIPATED. A WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE WEEKEND IS
CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BRING THE AREA A DECREASE IN WINDS AND
SEAS.  42

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      74  93  74  94  74 /  10  20  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              75  92  75  92  75 /  20  40  10  30  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            80  90  80  89  80 /  30  30  20  20  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...23
AVIATION/MARINE...42


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