Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 101144
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
544 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING BECOME S/SSW LATE
THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASE TO AROUND 10 KNOTS.
WINDS WEAKEN A LITTLE OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASE ONCE AGAIN DURING
THE DAY TOMORROW INTO A 10 TO 15 KNOTS RANGE OUT OF THE SSW/SW. 42
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 310 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

DISCUSSION...
TEMPS ARE IN THE MID/UPPER 30S ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF SE TX
EARLY THIS MORNING WITH NEAR 50 ALONG THE COAST. STILL HAVE A DRY
AIRMASS IN PLACE WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DW PTS RANGING FROM THE
UPPER 20S TO THE LOWER 40S COAST. WILL SEE WARMER TEMPS
TODAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS W/SW AREAS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A
WARMUP THE REST OF THE WEEK AND MOISTURE LEVELS WILL REALLY RISE
ON THU/FRI.

MODEL GUIDANCE IS STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A MORE PROGRESSIVE
MID/UPPER PATTERN DEVELOPS THIS WEEKEND WITH A MID/UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH APPROACHING ON SUN AND PASSING THROUGH SE TX ON MONDAY.
WILL SEE A BRIEF AND WEAK CF MOVE IN FROM THE NE AND STALL ACROSS
SE TX ON SATURDAY. WILL SEE ANOTHER COLD FRONT PASS THROUGH ON
MONDAY...AND WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF THIS
2ND BOUNDARY. THE AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT IS MILD...SO NEAR
NORMAL TEMPS ARE EXPECTED IN ITS WAKE FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE
PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK. 33


MARINE...
EAST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND STRENGTHEN TONIGHT AND THURSDAY UNDER A TIGHTENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT...AND CAUTION FLAGS MIGHT BE NEEDED FOR THE
OFFSHORE WATERS. LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE ONSHORE WINDS WILL
THEN PERSIST FROM THE END OF THE WEEK AND ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS ON MONDAY
AFTERNOON. 42

FIRE...
LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO
BE 25% TO 30% INLAND AND 40% TO 45% AT THE COAST. AT THIS
TIME...EXPECT WINDS TO REMAIN BELOW RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA OF
SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH. 42

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      70  49  76  51  74 /   0   0   0   0  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              67  50  76  54  77 /   0   0   0   0  10
GALVESTON (GLS)            62  56  70  56  72 /   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$


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