Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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FXUS64 KHGX 131008
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
408 AM CST Mon Nov 13 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A surface ridge across the eastern United States and lower
pressure across the Caribbean will maintain a relatively dry
northeast flow across the region (coupled with a dry nw flow in
the mid levels). High temperatures have been running on the upper
end, or above, guidance the past several days so trended grids
that way the next couple days.

Temperatures will continue to run 5-10+ degrees above normal
through the remainder of the work week. Increased humidities can
be expected Wednesday and beyond as high pressure moves further
east and allows se winds to resume. As the day shift pointed out,
we can`t rule out some isolated streamer showers, but continued
ridging & subsidence aloft will make things difficult to see much
of any precip of significance. Late night & morning fog will be
worth keeping an eye on.

Extended guidance is pointing toward a frontal passage late Friday
night or Saturday morning with temperatures returning to near
seasonable normals in its wake. Nudged POPs up slightly across the
southern parts of the area in association w/ the fropa. May need
a further bump once timing can be pinned down better.  47

&&

.MARINE...
Generally moderate NE winds will prevail today in the wake of a weak
cold front. SCEC conditions could also briefly prevail this morning/
early afternoon before things settle down as high pressure builds in
from the north. Winds should decrease tonight as the direction slow-
ly shifts to the east. Light to moderate east winds are expected Tue
and Tue night. As the high moves off to the east, onshore winds will
develop and prevail from mid week on through the end of the week.

Models are still going with the passage of a strong cold front some-
time late Fri/early Sat. SCEC or SCA flags are likely in the wake of
this boundary on Sat. 41

&&

.AVIATION...
Generally VFR as high pressure prevails over the area. 41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      77  59  78  61  79 /  10  10  10  10  10
Houston (IAH)              79  58  77  60  79 /  10  10  10  10  10
Galveston (GLS)            77  65  73  67  77 /  10  10  10  10  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

$$



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