Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 250727
AFDLUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
227 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...
UPPER LEVEL HIGH REMAINS FIRMLY CENTERED ACROSS THE
REGION THIS MORNING AND THIS FEATURE REMAIN PUT THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. A MINOR RIPPLE WILL TRANSLATE FROM THE SAN JUANS OF CO INTO
THE EASTERN PART OF THAT STATE.  THIS FEATURES TO HAVE ENOUGH
STRENGTH TO TRIGGER CONVECTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE.  WHILE THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE THAT A STORM
COULD FIRE ACROSS THE NORTH OR NORTHWEST..CHANCES ARE TOO LOW FOR
EXPLICIT MENTION.  OTHERWISE...CONTINUED HOT AND DRY.

.LONG TERM...
00Z MODEL RUN CONTINUES WITH A PROGGED EVOLUTION OF THE WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS AS SEEN THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS. UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING TO REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF THE CONUS
WHILE AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS SRN CANADA AND THE NRN TIER
OF THE CONUS NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL CAUSE THE CENTER OF THE UPPER
HIGH TO INITIALLY SHIFT EWD TO THE OZARKS WHILE THE TROUGH MOVES
OVER THE PACIFIC NW...THEN THE RIDGE REBUILDS OVER THE ROCKIES
ONCE THE TROUGH SHIFTS TO ONTARIO...QUEBEC...AND THE GREAT LAKES
STATES. EFFECT FOR THE FCST AREA WILL BE TO CONTINUE SEASONABLY
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK FOLLOWED
BY A PERIOD WHERE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REENTER THE FCST AS A WEAK
COLD FRONT EDGES INTO THE SRN PLAINS ON THE STRENGTH OF NWLY FLOW
OVER THE CENTER OF THE NATION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        94  68  95  68 /  10   0   0   0
TULIA         95  68  95  69 /   0   0   0   0
PLAINVIEW     95  69  94  69 /   0   0   0   0
LEVELLAND     96  68  96  70 /   0   0   0   0
LUBBOCK       96  71  96  71 /   0   0   0   0
DENVER CITY   96  68  97  71 /   0   0   0   0
BROWNFIELD    96  69  97  71 /   0   0   0   0
CHILDRESS     99  74 101  74 /   0   0   0   0
SPUR          98  73  99  73 /   0   0   0   0
ASPERMONT     99  74 100  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

26/07



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