Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 142042
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
242 PM CST Tue Nov 14 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Solutions agree we are entering a period of enhanced westerly
component aloft with generally veered low level flow and low
level drying. A brief cold front will pass late tonight, perhaps
with a small window for low clouds mainly before daybreak over the
Rolling Plains, but much drier and breezier afterwards. Low
clouds could gather again over the southern part of the Rolling
Plains in return low level southeast flow early Thursday, but flow
will veer during the day. Friday should be breezy to low end
windy and quite warm for mid November - perhaps with enhanced fire
concerns as well. Then, the next cold front will spread into the
area Friday night - cooler of course Saturday in particular - but
trended Sunday highs above blended solutions with expected lee
troughing.

Solution consistency breaks down early next week, with large
differences over the eastern Pacific factoring into downstream
issues our area as well. In general, we favor dry and mild to
start the week. Solutions suggest potential for a wave to approach
Tuesday along with a cold front, but disagree on amplitude and
moisture. Blended solutions indicated chances for precipitation
by late Monday and Tuesday but we have backed off given large
spread in the possible outcome. RMcQueen

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

05/05



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