Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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FXUS64 KLUB 232330
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
630 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.AVIATION...
breezy southerly winds will slacken and shift to the SE this
evening, then swing to the SW early Sunday morning before
returning to the S-SE in the afternoon. VFR to persist.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 252 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016/

SHORT TERM...
Upper anticyclone has since shifted west of the region ahead of a
slow moderation in thicknesses and low level moisture. This
moistening was edging slowly westward through the Rolling Plains
coincident with scattered cumulus - a theme that will continue
through Sunday. So, nothing more than high temps a touch lower than
today along with a few precious moments of shade from cumulus are
foreseen for Sunday.

LONG TERM...
Latest data continues to show upper level high, which has kept the
region hot and dry, becoming flattened and migrating into the
desert southwest early next week and on into the Great Basin by
Mid week. This will provide northwesterly flow aloft to set in by
mid-week. Additionally, the influence of embedded shortwaves in
the mean flow to our north will help to increase instability and
provide a more favorable pattern for thunderstorms. With today`s
data, Wednesday and Thursday look to have the best overall rain
chances.

&&

.LUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

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