Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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FXUS64 KLUB 181742
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1142 AM CST Sat Feb 18 2017

.AVIATION...
LBB and PVW will remain VFR today, but could both collapse to IFR
tonight as very moist SE winds carry low clouds and/or fog onto
the Caprock. Most indications favor IFR setting up to the N and
NE of LBB towards midnight and holding for much of Sun morning.

CDS remains LIFR with cool and moist NE winds, but improving VIS
confirms enough mixing which will only improve and restore VFR
skies, probably around 2 PM, before resuming LIFR this evening
and lasting through Sun A.M.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1046 AM CST Sat Feb 18 2017/

UPDATE...
Layer of stratus with some dense fog in our eastern zones is
proving more resilient than originally thought. Extrapolation from
satellite and METAR trends syncs well with the latest high res
guidance in keeping cool and moist ENE winds intact through early
afternoon. This will only delay the erosion of low clouds and
keep high temps at least 5 degrees cooler than previously
advertised. Fog-wise, some thinning of the previously dense fog
is noted in the city of Childress and at the airport, but the new
concern is how fast tonight`s round of fog may develop as much
richer moisture advection unfolds.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

93



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