Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 141810 AAA
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1210 PM CST Sat Jan 14 2017

.UPDATE...
Given reluctance of surface temps to warm above 32 degrees
primarily in our E-NE zones, have opted to extend the freezing
rain advisory through 6 PM in these areas as additional light
glazing is likely on unpaved surfaces.

Otherwise, a narrow N-S axis of thunderstorms with heavy rainfall
rates up to 2"/hour will tend to focus more into the northeast
South Plains in the coming hours ahead of a subtle mid-level
impulse still lifting north over the CWA (water vapor reveals
distinct subsidence in its wake). Lift in this area is receiving
enhancement via a N-S baroclinic zone sampled by 12Z RAOBs, but
this Fn layer is progged to migrate westward this evening and
overnight in response to height falls bulls-eyeing to our west
ahead of tomorrow`s vigorous upper cyclone. Will likely see
additional dense fog return tonight in this regime, but how
widespread is unknown at this time. No other updates for now.

&&

.AVIATION...
Continued LIFR through Sunday with occasional freezing drizzle
and freezing rain and CDS, less so at PVW and only rain with some
TS at LBB.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freezing Rain Advisory until noon CST today for TXZ029-035-036-
041>043.

Dense Fog Advisory until noon CST today for TXZ021>024-027>030-
033>036-039>042.

Freezing Rain Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for
TXZ023>026-030>032-037-038.

&&

$$

93



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