Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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FXUS64 KLUB 191105

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
505 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

MVFR conditions at all terminals. Winds will become more stronger
and southwesterly in the afternoon.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 321 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017/

Some changes are trending for the latter extended part of the
forecast in this morning`s data. By in large, the next week will
be characterized by ridging out west and troughing to our east.
Our first trough approaches tonight--deepening as it passes
overhead and digs into east Texas. Another system will skirt
across SW/CNTL Canada Monday night into Tuesday which will phase
with the departing system to our east. Behind it, ridging across
the intermountain west will become more fruitfully established and
extend well into northern BC/AB. The flow across our part of the
country will trend more northerly until some backing occurs late
Friday as another system clips across southern Canada. As such,
we`ll finish with NWRLY flow aloft next weekend.

Return flow will begin in earnest this afternoon with mildly breezy
conditions expected out west.  The process will repeat itself on
Monday though a surface trough may impinge upon the western part of
the CWFA.  This trough would veer winds to nearly westerly out near
the TX/NM state line.  On Tuesday morning, another cold front moves
into the region.  It will be another dry FROPA and winds look like
they will remain fairly tame (20 mph or less) behind the boundary.
Another surge of cooler air in the form of a back door cold front
should arrive Tuesday night though its effects will be short lived.
Return flow sets up once again by Wednesday afternoon followed by a
weak frontal surge on Thursday.  Tranquil conditions are then
expected through the weekend.  The potent cold front which was
evident in most solutions last night is how limited to the ECM/EC
solutions with the EC being the strongest/coldest out beyond
Saturday night.




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