Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

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FXUS64 KLUB 162326 AAA

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
526 PM CST Thu Nov 16 2017

VFR conditions in place at all three TAF sites and are expected to
remain VFR through Friday. There could be some VFR ceilings
developing near KLBB towards sunrise but confidence is too low to
include at this time and time period may be very limited. Wind
speeds will decrease after sunset and remain under 12 knots
overnight but then start to increase into the 20 to 30 knot range
for Friday afternoon at KLBB and KPVW. KCDS will have lower wind
speeds in the 15 to 25 knot range.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued Issued by National Weather Service

Very few changes have been made to the forecast.  Have increased
winds a bit on Friday, resulting in greater area of possible
critical fire weather conditions.  Fire Weather Watch has been
extended in area accordingly.  Other change was to remove slight
chance rain showers in southeastern sections Tuesday through

Dry weather expected for the next seven days.  Mid-level flow
across the forecast area expected to remain largely zonal through
Friday night.  A shortwave trof passing through the Texas
Panhandle Saturday morning will lead to mainly northwest flow
Saturday afternoon through Thanksgiving Day.

At the surface, lee-side low pressure trof remains over western
parts of the forecast area tonight, moving east on Friday, taking
on dryline-like characteristics by afternoon.  Breezy conditions
expected as pressures fall during the day.  Next feature of
interest will be a cold front, which arrives late Friday night
and early Saturday morning.  Have increased post-frontal winds on
Saturday.  Post-frontal surface high pressure ridge moves east of
the area on Sunday, with southerly winds resuming.  Another cold
front Monday night brings north winds for Tuesday.  These
repeated frontal passages will serve to keep moisture very
limited, thus aforementioned pops have been eliminated Tuesday
through Wednesday.  03


Temperatures in the mid to upper 80s will drop RH to the lower
teens Friday afternoon.  Dry conditions combined with breezy
winds 20-25 mph with higher gusts will result in elevated to
critical fire weather conditions especially for the northern and
western counties where winds will be the strongest.  The Fire
Weather Watch for Friday afternoon has been extended in area to
include the northern and western counties of the forecast area. 03


Fire Weather Watch Friday afternoon for TXZ021>024-027>030-



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