Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 261157
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
657 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015

.AVIATION...26/12Z TAF CYCLE

EXPECT MVFR CIGS TO PREVAIL THRU THE MID TO LATE MRNG HRS ACRS THE
AREA. INCRSD MIXING WL ALLOW FOR THESE CIGS TO LIFT TO VFR CONDS
BY MIDDAY. CANNOT RULE OUT SOME SCTD CONVECTION LATER TNGT OVR
PARTS OF THE AREA. PLACED PROB30 GROUPS UP NORTH FOR NOW DUE TO
LOW CONFIDENCE WITH OVERALL COVERAGE. /44/
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 406 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT

STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVED THROUGH THE STATE DURING THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH CONDITIONS TAPERING OFF JUST BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. THE BULK OF THE HEAVY RAIN HAS PUSHED EAST OF THE STATE
WITH ONLY SOME LINGERING SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS. THIS
PART OF THE STATE...HAS NOT SEEN NEARLY AS MUCH RAINFALL AS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE STATE...AND THEREFORE FEEL CONFIDENT THIS
ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL NOT LEAD TO ANY FLASH FLOODING. AS A
RESULT...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELED A BIT EARLY.

THIS MORNING...LOW CLOUDS HAVE BEGUN TO MOVE INTO THE STATE...BUT A
DECREASING TREND IN THE CLOUDS SHOULD BE SEEN THROUGH THE DAY. THIS
WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S
TODAY. DID KEEP SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST TODAY AS A
SHORTWAVE PUSHES TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE STATE...HOWEVER THE
MAJORITY OF THE STATE SHOULD SEE DRY WEATHER ON TUESDAY.

TUESDAY NIGHT...YET ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH THE STATE FROM
THE WEST AND BRING A CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY TO WESTERN ARKANSAS. RAIN CHANCES REMAIN IN
THE FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM WITH THE BEST
CHANCES FOR RAIN ON FRIDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE APPROACHES THE
STATE.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY

AN UPR LVL TROF WL BE SLOLY TRANSLATING EWD ACRS THE MID SOUTH THRU
THE PD. MEANWHILE...AN ASSOCD CDFNT WL APCH AR FM THE NW ON SAT AND
EVENTUALLY WORK INTO THE FA SUN AND MON. DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF
THE FNTL BNDRY...COMBINED WITH PLENTY OF LOW LVL MOISTURE...SCTD
SHRA/TSRA WL RMN POSSIBLE THRU THE PD. THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF
RAINFALL WL BE SAT AND SUN...WITH LESSER CHCS ON MON AS THE FNT/UPR
TROF EVENTUALLY WORK TO THE E OF THE STATE AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$





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