Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 191141 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
641 AM CDT SAT JUL 19 2014

.AVIATION...
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE
LIFTING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF THIS TAF
CYCLE...BUT DID INTRODUCE MVFR CONDITIONS FOR AROUND SUNRISE
SUNDAY.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 331 AM CDT SAT JUL 19 2014/

DISCUSSION...

MAIN CONCERN THIS FORECAST CYCLE IS A TEMPERATURE FORECAST.
OVERALL A DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE AROUND MID WEEK.

AGAIN A COOL OVERNIGHT WITH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S
ACROSS ARKANSAS. 10 TO TO NEAR 20 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
ADDITIONAL RECORDS WILL POSSIBLY BE BROKEN THIS MORNING. SEE THE
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT (PNS) FROM OUR OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION. OTHERWISE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS SETTLING IN OVER
THE AREA...WHILE SOME STRATUS FORMING OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN AR. PATCHY FOG HAS ALSO FORMED IN SPOTS. THE UPPER LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST OF THE REGION AND WILL MAKE
IT TO THE EAST COAST TODAY. A GENERAL NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW REMAINS
INTO THE REGION.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT

THIS EARLY MORNING WILL START WITH CLOUDS OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN AR...WITH SOME PATCHY FOG. WILL SEE SOME DENSE FOG FROM
AROUND KADF AND TO THE WEST. THE FOG WAS MAINLY FORMING IN THE
AREAS THE STRATUS CLOUDS WAS THINNING. THE CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY
THIN AND BREAK UP THROUGH THE DAY AND BECOME MOSTLY SUNNY...WITH
TEMPS MODERATING TO THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. THIS IS STILL AROUND
10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THE UPPER HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL
HELP TEMPS REBOUND TO THE 80S TO LOWER 90S SUNDAY...THEN THE UPPER
80S TO MID 90S EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOME PATCHY CLOUDS AND FOG ARE
EXPECTED TO FORM OVERNIGHT WITH CURRENT WET GROUND CONDITIONS AND
MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATE THIS...BUT SHOULD BECOME LESS AND LESS
INTO NEXT WEEK WITH THE EXTENDED DRY WEATHER FORECAST. RETURN
MOISTURE WILL HOLD OFF INTO MID WEEK UNTIL SURFACE WINDS BECOME
MORE SOUTH.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

WITH ARKANSAS ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE...A WEAK
BOUNDARY WILL MAKE SOME PROGRESS INTO THE STATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...BEFORE MOVING BACK NORTH FRIDAY. MUCH OF THE ACTIVITY
WILL BE DIURNAL IN NATURE...AND HAVE KEPT AT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS. THE
RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN TO END THE LONG TERM...WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING BACK INTO THE 90S BY FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     81  63  86  67 /  10   0  10   0
CAMDEN AR         84  65  90  69 /  10   0  10   0
HARRISON AR       81  62  86  66 /   0   0  10   0
HOT SPRINGS AR    82  64  88  69 /  10   0  10   0
LITTLE ROCK   AR  82  64  88  69 /  10   0  10   0
MONTICELLO AR     82  66  89  69 /  10   0  10   0
MOUNT IDA AR      81  64  87  67 /   0   0  10   0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  82  63  87  66 /   0   0  10   0
NEWPORT AR        82  64  87  67 /  10   0  10   0
PINE BLUFF AR     82  65  88  70 /  10   0  10   0
RUSSELLVILLE AR   83  63  88  69 /   0   0  10   0
SEARCY AR         82  64  87  69 /  10   0  10   0
STUTTGART AR      81  65  87  69 /  10   0  10   0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...58





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