Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 271651 AAA
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1151 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...

UPDATED TO INCLUDE THE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...

SOME LINGERING MVFR CIGS CONTINUE AT SOME SITES...BUT THESE SHOULD
LIFT TO VFR LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO
DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE. SOME SHRA COULD BE SEEN AT LLQ EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THE DRIER AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL END THIS
ACTIVITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NRLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
GRADUALLY LESSEN OVERNIGHT...WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BY
SUNRISE SUN. AS A RESULT...SOME PATCHY FOG COULD BE SEEN. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL THEN BE SEEN BY LATE MORNING SUN.

&&


PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 349 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT

THE UPPER RIDGE HAS MOVED WEST. THIS UPPER RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN
OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AREA. AS A RESULT...NORTHWEST FLOW WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE PLAINS THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SLIDE THROUGH SOUTH ARKANSAS THIS
MORNING WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG IT. EXPECT THE
RAIN TO TAPER OFF THROUGH THE MORNING. MOST OF THE WEEKEND WILL BE
DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE. HOWEVER...RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO MONDAY.

EXPECT RAIN CHANCES TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD AS
SEVERAL SHORT WAVES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 80S FOR THE WEEKEND THEN WILL SLOWLY
WARM INTO THE LOWER 90S MONDAY AND TUESDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
SLOWLY WARM FROM THE 60S INTO THE 70S.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

FEW CHGS MADE TO THE FCST IN THE LONG TERM AS NWLY FLOW WL RMN IN
PLACE ACRS THE MID SOUTH. THE RESULTING UPR PATTERN WL BRING SEVERAL
WEAK SHRTWV/S SEWD THRU THE REGION. THESE IMPULSES WL INTERACT WITH
THE WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS IN PLACE TO PRODUCE SCTD SHRA/TSRA EACH
DAY. TEMPS WL RMN CLOSE TO SEASONAL NORMS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     83  63  85  66 /   0   0  10  20
CAMDEN AR         86  67  89  69 /  10  10   0  10
HARRISON AR       81  60  83  66 /   0   0  10  30
HOT SPRINGS AR    85  66  87  69 /  10   0   0  10
LITTLE ROCK   AR  85  67  87  69 /  10   0   0  10
MONTICELLO AR     85  66  88  69 /  30  10   0  10
MOUNT IDA AR      85  65  87  68 /  10   0   0  10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  81  60  84  66 /   0   0  10  30
NEWPORT AR        83  64  85  66 /  10   0   0  20
PINE BLUFF AR     85  67  88  69 /  20  10   0  10
RUSSELLVILLE AR   84  64  86  68 /   0   0   0  20
SEARCY AR         84  65  86  68 /  10   0   0  20
STUTTGART AR      84  67  87  69 /  10   0   0  10
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...62




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