Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 061802
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
1202 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 0228 AM CST SAT FEB 06 2016

Mostly quiet weather across the area this morning. An upper level
wave is currently moving southeastward across the Red River Valley
region. This feature is bring a few high and mid level clouds
across the area this morning. Radar shows a few sprinkles or
flurries possible but doubt any of this is reaching the ground.

Scattered clouds this morning will give way to plenty of sunshine
this afternoon. Light southwesterly breezes will return today and
temperatures will warm into the lower 50s which is not too bad for
early February standards.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 0228 AM CST SAT FEB 06 2016

A strong deep trough will begin to develop across the Upper
Midwest and Great Lakes Region on Sunday into Monday. A strong
cold front will approach the area late Sunday. Winds will become
more breezy during the day on Sunday from the West-Southwest.
Sunday will be mild temperatures in the middle 50s.

The strong cold front moves through Sunday evening and night.
Winds will become Northwesterly and gusty. The high temperature
for Monday may actually occur around midnight with a steady or
slow falling temperatures during the day on Monday. Model
guidance indicates winds sustained around 30 mph with gusts up to
45 mph likely. A wind advisory may be needed for Monday.

Monday will be a cold, very windy, and cloudy day with off and on
snow flurries or light snow showers possible. Models hint at this
especially on the Ozark Plateau and across the northeastern half
of the area. There is a low potential for a trace to light dusting
possible but impacts are not expected at this time. Wind chills
Monday into Monday night will be in the teens to lower single
digits by Tuesday morning.

The flow flattens out by middle and end of next week with a
moderation of temperatures. Seasonable weather returns by mid week
with slightly above average temperatures by end of the week. No
significant precip chances through the next 7 days. Something to
watch in the long term...some long range models indicate a
potential for a storm system to affect the area in about 8 to 9
days or late next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday Afternoon)
Issued at 1155 AM CST SAT FEB 06 2016

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR conditions are expected. A cold
front will approach the taf sites late in the taf period with
increasing winds. A dry air mass will limit chances for lower
clouds or precipitation through midday Sunday.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...DSA


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