Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 240813

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
313 AM CDT FRI JUN 24 2016

...More Scattered Showers and T`Storms Expected Across The Area

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 253 AM CDT Fri Jun 24 2016

A weak frontal boundary has stalled out from west to east across
the Missouri Ozarks this morning. This surface feature along with
a very moist and rather unstable atmosphere along with the help of
some weak impulse mid level energy has caused additional scattered
showers and storms to redevelop across the western portion of the
area this morning. The boundary will begin to slow lift northward
today. Another ripple of energy in the westerlies will interact
with the boundary later this morning and this afternoon. This will
develop additional scattered storms by midday and early afternoon
across the central portion of the area and move off to the east.

Enough instability may cause a few strong to isolated severe
storms to develop. The main hazard will be downburst winds up to
60 mph along with lightning and brief heavy rainfall. Most of the
convection will be dwindling down by sunset this evening.
Temperatures will be slightly cooler today with the added rain and
clouds in the area. Highs on either side of 90 degrees.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 253 AM CDT Fri Jun 24 2016

The upper level ridge tries to reestablish itself over the area
on Saturday. This will temporarily turn off the rain chances and
warm temps back up into the 90s. The upper level ridge will start
to diminish by Sunday and actually begin to reform over the
western U.S. Another weak frontal boundary will sag back southward
into the area late Sunday into Monday. Scattered rain chances and
storms will return. This boundary will stall right across the
region from northwest to southeast. With the upper level ridge
over the Four Corners Region of the west, this will put the Ozarks
Region in a "Ring of Fire" flow or potential MCS activity like
flow Monday night through Thursday morning with the better signal
Wednesday and Thursday. The weather pattern definitely looks more
unsettled and cooler temperatures next week. Highs temps will be
actually slightly below average in the lower 80s...maybe upper


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1142 PM CDT Thu Jun 23 2016

Convection has shifted east of the terminals but will continue
VCTS at BBG for a couple of hours with a couple of showers/storms
just east of the terminal there. Otherwise, expecting mainly
mid/upper level cloud cover overnight for the terminals.
Convection out west in the high Plains could affect the area on
Friday with shortwave energy moving into the area. Have some
afternoon prob30`s going for sgf/jln at the moment.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Lindenberg is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.