Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 250927

327 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 330 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

An upper level trough is currently diving south across the central
Plains early this morning. Some scattered sprinkles or light rain
is occurring across the area ahead of the trough. The trough will
push to the southeast through the area today and light rain or
flurries will occur at times. Will not be an all day rain but
there could be off and on light rain and sprinkles through much of
the day especially across the eastern Ozarks. The best coverage in
this light rain will occur this morning across the eastern
Ozarks. This afternoon there will still be the light rain or
sprinkles occurring at times, the better chances will remain across
the eastern Ozarks.

As the upper level trough passes south through the area height
falls will quickly cool the mid levels of the atmosphere today,
but low level temperatures at the surface and just above the ground
will remain warm enough for all rain through much of the day. A
cold front will drop south through the area today and temperatures
will fall this afternoon especially across central Missouri, which
may allow a few snowflakes to mix in with the rain late this
afternoon into early this evening. This will be very light
snow/flurries mixing in with rain and with surface temperatures
above freezing no accumulations will occur. The precipitation
will come to an end by the mid evening hours.

Cloudy skies and the passage of the cold front late this morning
will keep temperatures cooler today. Most locations highs for the
entire day will occur this morning, with temperatures holding
steady or slightly or falling this afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 330 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2015

An upper level ridge will then build east across the Plains and
over the region by Wednesday. This will allow a nice warm up with
highs warming into the 50s and 60s and each day through Wednesday.

An upper level trough will push the ridge to the east and usher
in cooler conditions late this week into the weekend as highs only
warm into the 40s as a second upper level trough tracks through
the region. Moisture will be limited with this system but some
light rain or sprinkles may be possible on Saturday.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1141 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2015

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Low pressure over IA will reach
eastern KY by the end of the taf period. Gradually lowering vfr
ceilings will occur in the near term, with ceilings falling into
the mvfr cat behind a cold frontal passage toward 12z-15z. Some
light precip/showers wrapping around the low will affect the region,
mainly after 18z, but for now will not mention any visibility
restriction. Gusty winds will occur behind the front with gusts of
30 kts possible at KJLN and KSGF.




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