Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 030446
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1146 PM CDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday)
Issued at 0230 PM CDT WED SEP 02 2015

Another warm and humid day prevailed across the region Wednesday. Afternoon
cumulus had developed and cannot rule out an isolated storm or two
across the eastern Ozarks. Any convection will diminish with
sunset.

The upper level ridge will remain the dominant weather feature
into Thursday. This will ridge will actually amplify across the
region in response to an upper level trough moving into the west
coast. Temperatures will again be slightly above normal.

Forecast confidence is high through Thursday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 0230 PM CDT WED SEP 02 2015

The weather pattern will change little into the weekend as the
upper ridge maintains it`s grip on our weather. An isolated storm
cannot be ruled out especially Sunday when deeper moisture makes
a return, but most locations will remain dry through the weekend.

The upper pattern undergo a transition to a more zonal flow early
next week as the upper trough transitioning to the northeast
across the northern tier of states. The flattening ridge will
allow a front to drop southward into the area by Monday and
Tuesday. This front may meander across the region through much of
next week resulting in a period of more active weather.

Forecast confidence is high through weekend with details yet to be
determined early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1145 PM CDT WED SEP 02 2015

VFR conditions expected through the period. Even with a calm wind
at BBG, similar to last night, expecting dew point depression to
remain to high for fog to develop. Overall maintain a south to
south-southwest surface wind generally 15 kts or lower.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Lindenberg


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