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000
FXUS63 KSGF 121102
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
602 AM CDT Wed Mar 12 2014

...Colder Today then Milder Thursday and Friday...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 330 AM CDT WED MAR 12 2014

After a couple of warm days, much colder air had overspread the
region in the wake of a vigorous shortwave trough and associated
surface low pressure system tracking into the Ohio River Valley.

Gusty northwesterly winds of 25 to 35 mph will gradually subside
through the day as the pressure gradient relaxes.

Temperatures will return to below normal today with highs ranging
from the lower and middle 40s in the eastern Ozarks to near 50 in
far southeastern Kansas.

A return flow will set up tonight as surface high pressure
settles to the south which will cause temperatures to steady off
overnight especially for areas west of Highway 65.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 330 AM CDT WED MAR 12 2014

The upper pattern will become more zonal to end the week while 500
MB heights rise. This along with increasing southwesterly winds
will push temperatures back above normal at most locations on
Thursday. The increase in temperatures and wind in addition to a
dry airmass will result in elevated fire weather conditions.

The milder weather will continue into Friday. A minor shortwave
trough will track across the lower Mississippi River Valley
Saturday bringing an increase in clouds and perhaps a chance of
light rain. Cooler temperatures will return in the wake of this
system and as a northwesterly flow aloft returns.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday Morning)
Issued at 602 AM CDT WED MAR 12 2014

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFS...Gusty north to northwesterly
winds will continue to occur across the area into the early afternoon
hours. Winds will then weaken and become variable this evening into the
overnight hours.

Clouds are quickly clearing from west to east this morning. MVFR
ceilings are currently occurring at the KSGF and KBBG sites and
will remain possible into early in the TAF period but will
improving into the VFR category quickly this morning.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...WIND ADVISORY until 10 AM CDT this morning FOR MOZ055>058-
     066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...WIND ADVISORY until 10 AM CDT this morning FOR KSZ073-097-101.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Wise