Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 252312

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
512 PM CST WED NOV 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Sunday)

Moisture increases from the Gulf continued over extreme southeast
Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks today. This pattern will set the
stage for another widespread rainfall event as we progress into
Thanksgiving and Thanksgiving weekend.

A slow moving storm system will approach from the west, forcing a
heavy band of rainfall as a frontal system slowly shifts across
the area.

Rain starts to get heavy over southeast Kansas late Thursday
afternoon and evening, and will shift east across the Ozarks into

The frontal system is expected to stall somewhere across
Arkansas, but will be close enough for post frontal showers
through the weekend.

A final speed max will pass over southern Missouri on Sunday
morning, shifting all precipitation east of the area by Sunday

We are officially forecasting widespread rainfall amounts ranging
from 2 - 5 inches.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Wednesday)

A Pacific airmass will spread across the region next work week,
offering cool and dry conditions Monday through Wednesday.

Look for highs in the 40s and lows in the middle to upper 20s.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 0507 PM CST WED NOV 25 2015

Frontal system will slowly push southward through the period with
a southwesterly flow aloft. Will retain the good low level
warm/moist advection into the region and should see ceilings
gradually diminish through the nighttime hours. Have kept in MVFR
through much of the night, but dip into IFR towards morning. With
fairly strong low level flow, will likely see some decent low
level wind shear just off the deck throughout the night.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...Flash Flood Watch from Thursday evening through late Friday
     night for MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Flash Flood Watch from Thursday evening through late Friday
     night for KSZ073-097-101.



LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Lindenberg is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.