Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 191037
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
437 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 200 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

Large area of surface high pressure was centered over the central
high plains into the Texas panhandle region, but extended eastward
to cover all of the Mississippi valley. The cold front ahead of it
was now across the eastern U.S. This system brought northwest
winds on Saturday from 40 to 49 mph over the CWA behind the front.

Wind speeds have diminished tonight but remained steady at 5 to 10
mph as the cold air mass builds into the area. Temperatures have
dropped into the mid 30s to around 40 as of 1 AM. Lows this
morning should drop down into the upper 20s to around 32.

Main focus will be on the elevated fire weather potential on
Monday as the remainder of the week looks to be hazard free.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 200 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

For today, plenty of sunshine is expected with very dry
atmospheric conditions in place as the high pressure system builds
into the region. It will also bring cooler temperatures with highs
in the 40s to low 50s today.

Southerly winds will redevelop over the western CWA overnight as
the high slides to the southeast of the area. Coolest temperatures
will be in the eastern Ozarks with lows around freezing, and mid
to upper 30s to the west.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 200 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

The large area of surface high pressure will push to the Atlantic
coast on Monday with a tightening pressure gradient setting up
between this high and the approaching cold front to our northwest.
Gusts winds, especially in the western half of the CWA are
possible on Monday afternoon. Humidity levels will drop to 35
percent and below during the afternoon and will bring about some
elevated fire weather conditions.

The next front will push through during the day on Tuesday,
however very little moisture will be available with the Gulf
moisture remaining along the Gulf coast. So the area will remain
dry with the frontal passage, but cooler air will move in behind
the front with lows Tuesday night in the mid 20s and highs on
Wednesday in the mid to upper 40s.

The trough axis will shift east of the area Wednesday night with
rising heights and an upper ridge building into the area by
Thanksgiving. This should warm us back up into the 50s on Thursday
and possibly the low 60s by Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 433 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

Clear skies and VFR conditions will continue through tonight with
surface winds gradually backing from northwesterly today to
southerly by late tonight.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Schaumann



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