Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 100923

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
323 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Monday tonight)
Issued at 307 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2017

Warmer weather will spread into the region today and Monday as
highs top out in the 50s both afternoons. Winds will be out of the
west today and could gust to around 20 to 25 mph at times this
afternoon. A dry air mass remains in place across the area, and
combined with the gusty winds will lead to some elevated fire
weather conditions this afternoon.

An upper level trough will dive south through the region Monday
sending a front south through the area. Winds will switch to the
northwest and increase and become gusty Monday afternoon. Gust up
to 35 mph are expected at times. A dry air mass will be in place
and moisture return will be limited resulting in no rain occurring
with this system.

Temperatures will not drop right behind the front, as a secondary
trough will sweep through the region Monday night sending the
colder air mass into the area Monday night into Tuesday. A dry
air will begin to move into the area Monday afternoon and combine
with the warmer temperatures and gusty winds to create an
elevated to locally significant fire weather risk. Humidity
values will likely drop into the 25 to 35% range Monday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 307 AM CST Sun Dec 10 2017

Colder conditions will occur Tuesday as highs in the upper 30s to
the lower 40s occur. Highs will then return to the 50s on
Wednesday. Then another upper level disturbance Will track
through the region bringing highs back to the 40s on Thursday with
warmer conditions then occurring Friday into the Weekend as highs
top out in the 50s each afternoon.

A dry air mass will remain over the area and with winds picking up
with the passing systems could lead to elevated fire weather
conditions during many of the afternoons this week.

The dry conditions will also prevent any precipitation chances
occurring with any of the passing upper level disturbances through
the workweek. Yet another upper level trough will track across
the area next weekend and could bring some light preciptiation to
southern Missouri, but will be on the light side if any can
develop at all.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1140 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR. A weak sfc ridge will move through with
light winds backing to the southwest early in the taf period.
Another sfc trough will pass late in the taf period with
moderately gusty sfc winds. Winds aloft continue to support of the
mention of low level wind shear 10z-14z.




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