Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 210447
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1047 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)

It was a warm and breezy day over extreme southeast Kansas and the
Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures warmed into the 60s, under sunny
skies and very dry relative humidity levels. This created red flag
conditions this afternoon. As a matter of fact, a Red Flag Warning
remains in effect for portions of the Ozarks through 6 pm.

These fire weather conditions should improve early this evening as
wind speeds decrease and humidity levels increase.

For tonight, south breezes will persist, keeping temperatures in
the mid 30s to mid 40s.

A cold front is expected to swing through the area on Tuesday,
bringing in a cooler airmass. Due to the lack of available
moisture, no precipitation is expected. However, temperatures
Tuesday night into Wednesday morning will fall into the low to mid
20s. This will likely be the coldest period through the next 7
days.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)

Northwest flow will continue through the entire long term periods.
This fast flow regime will shut down the Gulf of Mexico, allowing
for an extended period of dry weather for the Ozarks.

Due to a series of frontal passages, temperatures will fluctuate
through the rest of the week.

Perhaps the warmest periods will occur Friday afternoon as highs
warm into the mid 60s. This airmass will be replaced by another
shot of Canadian air on Saturday.

In summary, there remains no signal for any active weather through
Thanksgiving weekend and into early next week. Dry conditions
combined with fluctuating temperatures are in the offing.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1045 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

With fairly dry lower levels of the atmosphere, VFR conditions are
expected through the period. We will have low level wind shear
from the southwest at around 40-45 kts tonight along with a wind
shift by late morning with the passage of a cold front. Some gusty
winds of 15 to 25 kts will be possible behind the front out of the
north on Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Lindenberg


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