Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
FXUS63 KSGF 131209
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
709 AM CDT Sat Sep 13 2014
.SHORT TERM...(Today and Sunday)
A chilly air mass remains in place over extreme southeast Kansas
and the Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures this morning fell into the
40s, under cloudy skies and northerly breezes. These northerly
winds will put a cap on temperatures this afternoon, with highs
only warming into the middle 60s.
No precipitation is expected through the rest of the weekend. A
return of southerly winds combined with sunshine on Sunday will
boost temperatures back into the 70s. So fantastic weather for
outdoor activities will be observed today and Sunday.
.LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday)
By Monday morning, showers and thunderstorms will be approaching
the Ozarks from the west. An upper level disturbance will force a
cold front into the area, triggering a round of widespread
rainfall Monday into Monday night.
This appears to be the only decent precipitation chances through
the entire 7 day forecast.
Beyond Monday night a ridge of high pressure will build across the
nation`s mid section, bringing warmer temperatures and tranquil
Tuesday through next Friday, temperatures will warm into the 70s
and 80s on an afternoon basis, with lows in the 50s at night. For the
exception of Monday and Monday night, next week`s weather will be
.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday Morning)
Issued at 656 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2014
For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Finally starting to see a transition away
from low clouds/ceilings, but it`s not quite over. Clouds have
shifted farther south, with a ragged northern edge to the stratus.
However, where the sky has cleared, some dense fog has occurred where
winds were light, mainly over central and northern MO. We should
see a gradual clearing trend of mvfr/ifr ceilings over the next
few hours, clearing out last across far southern MO (KBBG). Expect
VFR conditions by/after 18z with high pressure centered just
north and northeast of the area.