Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 240956

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
356 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)

A cold front was sweeping across southern Missouri early this
morning, bringing a much cooler airmass to the region. Highs today
will range from the upper 40s in southeast Kansas to the lower 60s
in south central Missouri.

Little to no precipitation is expected with this front due to a
dry airmass in place. We did have a few showers and storms that
occurred overnight, although this activity has since shifted east
of the Ozarks.

For tonight, temperatures will plummet into the low 20s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)

Sunny and mild weather is expected for Saturday as zonal flow
aloft evolves. Highs on Saturday will warm back into the 40s.

A return of southerly winds are expected by Sunday. Temperatures
will warm into the 50s, however, increasing cloud cover and even
a few showers will be possible.

Intermittent chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue
early next work week as cyclonic flow aloft persists while
moisture advection occurs. It doesn`t appear as though a
widespread heavy rain will occur.

While cooler air is expected Tuesday through Thursday, readings
will still be above normal for the time of year. A couple of
frontal passages are possible during this time frame with little
to no rain chances.

Wave 5 analysis would suggest a continuation in above normal
temperatures well into the month of March. No long term shot of
Arctic air is being signaled at this time as the winter window
begins to close.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1102 PM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

Scattered showers/thunderstorms developing ahead of low pressure
system and on low level jet across west central into southwest
Missouri. Very dry low levels (SGF 00z sounding), but enough
elevated instability for some thunder. Have gone with some vcsh
wording in the 06z TAFS at sgf/jln at the onset. Front should work
its way through the area overnight with surface winds becoming
west then northwest by morning and will continue with gusts
through the day Friday. Some stratus behind the front could lower
ceilings into the MVFR category for a bit towards morning and into
Friday morning.




LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Lindenberg is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.