Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 270502
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1202 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Showers and thunderstorms will continue to push east northeast
across far Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas over the next
couple of hours. At the same time...additional showers and
thunderstorms will continue to push slowly eastward across far
Northeast Oklahoma and into Northwest Arkansas as an upper low
moves through the region. On the backside of the upper
low...IFR/MVFR ceilings are forecast to spread across Eastern
Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas and could remain common into the
afternoon hours Monday. Precip looks to exit Northwest Arkansas
mid to late morning Monday. Toward the end of the TAF
period...ceilings look to lift back to VFR over parts of the
region.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 911 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Severe thunderstorms continue to roll across southeast
Oklahoma this evening as an upper level low spins across
south-central Kansas. The severe threat will persist into
the overnight hours across southeast Oklahoma into west-central
Arkansas as the low level jet strengthens. Severe thunderstorms
will also be possible over the next few hours near the Kansas/
Oklahoma closer to the upper level low and the surface cold front
moving into the area. Large hail and damaging winds will be
the main concern with the tornado threat diminishing over the next
couple of hours across southeast Oklahoma.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   54  68  45  75 /  70  10   0  10
FSM   58  70  50  75 /  80  20   0  10
MLC   59  72  47  77 /  20  10   0  10
BVO   50  67  39  73 /  80  10   0  10
FYV   55  66  39  69 /  80  40   0  10
BYV   56  65  43  65 /  80  50   0  10
MKO   56  69  45  76 /  60  10   0  10
MIO   53  66  42  70 /  80  40   0  10
F10   56  70  46  76 /  20  10   0  10
HHW   61  73  50  76 /  70  10   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...20


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