Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 260456
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1156 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
RAIN SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH SOME POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. LIFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS ALONG WITH
BREEZY TO GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS SHOULD BECOME COMMON ACROSS THE
REGION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT. DURING THE DAY
THURSDAY...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LIFT BACK TO VFR WITH SKIES
CLEARING OUT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. SOME MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND LIGHT
WINDS LOOK POSSIBLE TOWARD THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 844 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT NOW NEAR A KFYV TO KSNL LINE WITH THE BULK OF THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OCCURRING ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SEVERE THREAT WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE FEW HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL ALSO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS STORMS AND RAIN CONTINUE TO TRAIN OVER
THE SAME AREAS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA.

HAVE TRIMMED SOME NORTHERN COUNTIES FROM THE WATCH AND MAY CLEAR SOME
MORE COUNTIES BEFORE THE WATCH EXPIRES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   42  60  39  59 /  20  10  10   0
FSM   50  63  40  62 /  90  30   0   0
MLC   46  60  39  61 / 100  20   0   0
BVO   41  58  35  57 /  20  10  10   0
FYV   43  53  34  54 / 100  20  10  10
BYV   42  53  34  52 / 100  30  20  10
MKO   45  59  38  59 / 100  20   0   0
MIO   41  55  35  53 /  20  10  20  10
F10   45  59  39  59 /  70  10   0   0
HHW   50  63  40  66 /  90  20   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY FOR OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-
     OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-
     OKZ070-OKZ071.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM THURSDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011.

&&

$$

AVIATION...20




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