Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 242313
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
613 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A RATHER STAGNANT UPPER PATTERN IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...AS THE UPPER RIDGE MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AND POSITION ACROSS
THE REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL AGAIN
REACH THE 95-102F RANGE...WITH THE HOTTEST READINGS ACROSS NE OK.
WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL HEAT ADVISORY...ESPECIALLY ON
TUESDAY AS DEWPOINTS MAY BE A BIT HIGHER THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS.

LONGER RANGE MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH SLOW
MOVEMENT OF THE NEXT UPPER SYSTEM...WITH UPPER WAVE
WEAKENING/SHEARING OUT AS IT SLIPS INTO THE PLAINS BY NEXT WEEKEND.
MAIN CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED WAS TO REMOVE POPS FOR TUESDAY/TUESDAY
NIGHT AND ADD POPS FOR THE WEEKEND BUT WILL STILL LEAVE THEM IN
THE 20/30 PERCENT RANGE. ALSO RAISED TEMPS (BOTH HIGHS AND LOWS)
SOME FOR DAYS 3-7.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   76 101  76 100 /   0   0  10  10
FSM   73 100  76  99 /   0   0  10  10
MLC   74  98  75  98 /   0   0  10  10
BVO   71 101  71 100 /  10   0  10  10
FYV   68  96  70  96 /   0   0  10  10
BYV   71  96  72  96 /   0   0  10  10
MKO   72  98  74  99 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   70  98  72  99 /   0   0  10  10
F10   74  98  75  98 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   73  98  74  98 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...07





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