Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

FXUS63 KFGF 021253

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
653 AM CST Fri Dec 2 2016

Issued at 652 AM CST Fri Dec 2 2016

no changes to fcst. radars and reports indicate some patchy
fzdz/flurries Minot area to Bismarck then to Aberdeen. Nothing in
our area observed.


.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 308 AM CST Fri Dec 2 2016

Weak sfc high over central ND early this morning will move slowly
east over the region today and into Minnesota Saturday. Lots of
low level moisture in place in the 1000 to 2500 ft agl layer so
despite high pressure it will remain cloudy. Dry today as no signs
of any fog or drizzle this early morning. Clouds likely to hold
tonight. Temperatures today will not rise much.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 308 AM CST Fri Dec 2 2016

Two fairly weak short waves will move across the N Plains this
weekend. One moving across SD into central MN Saturday night and
the other a tad farther north across se Sask into S Manitoba
Sat night into Sunday. Both have meager moisture and lift, but
enough to bring areas of light snow. Accumulations minimal. High
temps 31-35 both days. Monday will see light snow chances increase
esp in the afternoon with highest chances in DVL region.

Monday Night and Tuesday... Models are in general agreement on
bringing a low pressure system across the RRV late from late Monday
into early Tuesday. Light snow is most likely on Monday evening with
prospects for dry slot formation across the area by early Tuesday.
ECMWF does keep a bit more light snow into eastern nd and the Red
River corridor than the GFS... so will need to watch. Overall A
large scale H5 trof digs into central NOAM during this period.

Wednesday thru Friday...Areas of light snow or flurries are possible
Wednesday into Thursday as much cooler air pushes down into the
area. Daytime highs expected only in the teens with nighttime lows
in the single digits. By Friday morning... a 1040mb surface High is
projected across the western Dakotas with the coldest air of the
season tracking into the area.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 652 AM CST Fri Dec 2 2016

Expect MVFR cloud deck to remain over the FA throough today and into
the evening. Low cloud base will raise slowly through the afternoon
and early evening... with areas of broken VFR CIGS developing
during the overnight.




LONG TERM...Gust/Riddle
AVIATION...Gust is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.