Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 240432
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1132 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 309 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2016

Tonight and tomorrow.  The cold front is currently pushing southeast
across Lincoln county and will largely be east of the county warning
area by mid-evening.  The latest near and short term models have
backed off on the precipitation potential this evening across north
central Nebraska.  The boundary appears to become more diffuse this
evening, with the lesser focus for storms.  Will continue to monitor
but removed all precipitation mention for the cwa from the forecast
this evening. Otherwise a cool and dry airmass will settle in
behind the front overnight. We should see strong radiational
cooling once the wind subsides. Did lower overnight temperatures
some 3-6F across the board, which suggest some upper 40s for
Sheridan county, 50s elsewhere. The Canadian airmass will be in
place for Wednesday leading too seasonally cool highs. The coolest
readings are forecast up across our northwestern zones with highs
in the lower 70s anticipated, but lower 80s are still possible
across our eastern zones.

Will have to watch a disturbance and the influence of monsoonal
moisture from the southwest Wednesday afternoon.  The boundary will
be well south of the forecast area, but close enough for at least a
slight chance mention of showers or weak storms.  Severe weather
prospects are low to nil given unfavorable parameters.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 309 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2016

A cooler canadian airmass will remain in place behind the front
on Thursday with partly to mostly cloudy skies. Highs from the mid
to upper 70s.

The next chance for precipitation will arrive Thursday night and
persist into Saturday. This will occur as the surface front lifts
back north and an upper trough tracks from Montana and Wyoming
into the Northern Plains. Timing for best chances are from Friday
through Friday evening, when higher 40-60 pops are forecast.

Conditions will turn warmer for the weekend into Tuesday of next
week as ridging aloft builds northward across the region. Mid and
upper level subtropical monsoonal moisture will be present, with a
chance for a isolated showers or thunder, mainly across the
southeast.

Highs Saturday forecast to be right near normal in the lower 80s,
warming into the mid and upper 80s for Sunday through Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1132 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2016

Over the next 24 hours, an abundance of mid and high level clouds
will stream across western and north central Nebraska.
Precipitation is expected to be focused south of the area over
northern Kansas and far southern Nebraska on Wednesday into
Wednesday night. Ceilings will range from 12000 to 20000 FT AGL
and will be scattered overnight tonight, becoming broken Wednesday
morning.

&&

.LBF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Jacobs
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Buttler


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