Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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000
FXUS63 KLBF 270850
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
350 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 350 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

A DISTURBANCE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL PULL A REINFORCING
PACIFIC INTO THE FCST AREA LATE TONIGHT. WINDS TODAY BECOME LIGHT
WEST AND SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH MODEST WARM AIR
ADVECTION.

THE RAP SUGGESTED H750MB TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS TODAY WHICH
SUPPORTS HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. NO RETURN MOISTURE IS
EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT SO DEW POINTS REMAIN IN THE 50S TODAY
AND TONIGHT. LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS AND GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES
TONIGHT WOULD SUPPORT DRAINAGE WINDS AND LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO
NEAR 60. POSSIBLY COOLER THOUGH GIVEN THE MET AND MAV GUIDANCE
ARE TRENDING TOWARD THE LOWER 50S. LATER FORECASTS MAY NEED TO
BUMP LOWS DOWN TONIGHT.


.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 350 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

WESTERN RIDGE DOMINATES THE LONG TERM FORECAST...WITH NORTHWEST
FLOW THE CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEK. LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH INITIALLY AND A DRY START TO THE WEEK IS EXPECTED. MODELS IN
AGREEMENT BRINGING A STRONGER SHORT WAVE/LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT
SOME COMPRESSIONAL HEATING SHOULD CAUSE TEMPS TO SURGE UPWARD A
FEW DEGREES WITH MOST SITES IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S. FAR SW
NEB COULD SEE TEMPS IN THE MID 90S. ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT IS
A CHANCE FOR STORMS. UNCERTAINTY ABOUT MOISTURE AVAILABILITY AND
STORM COVERAGE...THUS LIMITED CHANGE TO ONGOING LOW CHANCE POPS.
SLIGHT COOL DOWN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH ANOTHER WAVE QUICKLY
FOLLOWING. LOW POPS CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE RIDGE
EXPANDS AGAIN AND WAVES GET PUSHED TO THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1137 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

ONLY A FEW CIRRUS CLOUDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER CENTRAL AND WESTERN
NEBRASKA TONIGHT AND THROUGH SATURDAY...SO CEILING AND VISIBILITY
WILL BE UNRESTRICTED.


&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDC
LONG TERM...MASEK
AVIATION...SPRINGER




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