Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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000
FXUS63 KLBF 240948
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
348 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 345 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Today and Tonight...
The RAP and HRRR models indicate the area of moderate to heavy snow
across the sandhills will decay this morning. The dual pol snow
water equivalent product indicates 1 inch per hour snowfall rates.
The snow forecast leans on those solns and an additional 1 to 2
inches of snowfall is expected between 12z and 18z today. Both
models indicate some light snow redevelopment across Southwest
Nebraska.

All weather highlights remain in place. Ice covered...drifted and
snow covered roads are widespread. Wind gusts to 30+ mph are
indicated through at least 18z this morning which will produce
significant blowing and drifting snow in some areas...mainly east of
highway 83. Winds are expected to decrease this afternoon.

Temperatures today rise into the 20s using blended guidance plus
bias correction. Tonight...precipitable water falls to around 0.10
inches across Western Nebraska and 1025 high pressure will build
across the same area. Some high clouds are indicated in the models
but the very dry air support support lows around zero if not colder
across the central and western Sandhills. This is about 5 degrees
colder than blended guidance.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 345 AM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Main forecast concern for this period will be the colder than normal
temperatures. Lowered temperatures a few degrees on Saturday across
the northern forecast area where fresh snow pack over 6 inches
should keep temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s. Temperatures
will remain cool with highs several degrees below normal through
Thursday.


&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1145 PM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

Snow continues to fall across much of western and north central
NEB as a winter storm impacts the Central Plains. Conditions
continue to be poor across the local forecast area with IFR-MVFR
visibility being reported due to falling and blowing snow. A few
locations in north central NEB are reporting LIFR visibility and
that`s attributable to where the band of heaviest snow is.
Ceilings presently are IFR to MVFR.

Periods of snow can be expected the rest of tonight. Snow will
start tapering off in the morning to the south and east with snow
expected to end by early-mid afternoon. Northeast winds with
gusts to 30-35 mph will prevail rest of tonight, strongest gusts
over north central NEB. Winds will begin to diminish in the early
afternoon tomorrow across western NEB then across north central
NEB in the mid-late afternoon. Improvements in visibility are
expected to take place mid-late morning, followed by improvements
in ceilings in the afternoon. VFR conditions expected to return to
all of western and north central NEB in the early to mid evening.


&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ this evening
for NEZ056>059.

Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST /5 PM MST/ this evening for
NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-094.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDC
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...ET


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