Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 211758

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1258 PM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today)
Issued at 320 AM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016

Ridge to the west continues to build east into the northern plains
today with warmer temperatures aloft. Surface trough to the west
across the Nebraska panhandle will keep south to southwest winds and
warm air advection going over western Nebraska today. Some high thin
cirrus today but should not affect temperature forecast. Highs in
the upper 60s north and around 70 south.

.LONG TERM...(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 320 AM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016

Dry air in place with light winds will promote rapid cooling
tonight across the region, with lows falling to near the freezing
mark in favored lower spots.

A warm day Saturday with a thermal and upper level ridge across
the region. 850MB temperatures of 15C to 22C will easily support
highs in the 70s at all locations. Lower 80s possible across
southwest Nebraska. Very dry air in place and heightened fire
weather concerns are expected. More details in the fire weather

A shortwave will quickly cross southern Canada and the far
northern plains Sunday. This will drive a cold front south through
the area, but still mild behind the front with highs in the 60s to
low 70s.

Overall expect upper level ridging to dominate this coming
work week. A shortwave will dampen the ridge mid week when a few
showers or a thunderstorm is possible. Otherwise dry and quite
mild with highs mid 60s to lower 70s.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1257 PM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016

Surface high pressure over much of the central US will keep
aviation conditions quiet over the next couple days. Cirrus clouds
over both terminals this afternoon will give way to mostly clear
skies by evening. Light winds continue into the evening and
overnight hours. Winds increase at KVTN Saturday morning, with gusts
up to 21 knots. Winds will remain around 10 knots at KLBF on
Saturday morning.


Issued at 320 AM CDT Fri Oct 21 2016

Heightened fire weather concerns today and Saturday as ridge and
warm dry air underneath it shift east across the northern plains.
Today dry air from 15 to 25 percent over most of western
Nebraska. Driest air along the surface trough in the panhandle
where winds will be much lighter. There will be a brief period
this afternoon where winds and low humidity will combine over
fire zone 209 but a quick recovery with humidity this evening will
limit concerns. Similar setup for Saturday with trough to the
west and minimum relative humidity falling off early afternoon.
Stronger winds expected Saturday. Saturday looks better for
critical thresholds to be reached and will highlight in HWO for




LONG TERM...Taylor
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