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000
FXUS63 KLBF 042341
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
540 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 254 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015

RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC. UPPER TROUGH FROM CANADIAN
MARITIMES TO SOCAL BAJA. SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM WEST TEXAS
THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST CONUS INTO THE CAROLINAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 PM  CST WED MAR 4 2015

UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN ANCHORED ALONG THE WEST
COAST FOR THE LAST FEW WEEKS...WILL FINALLY START TO SHIFT EAST
THURSDAY. UNDER CLEAR SKIES...DRY AIR AND LIGHT WINDS...TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP FAIRLY QUICKLY TONIGHT...WITH MANY AREAS SEEING LOWS IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS. SNOW COVER WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW DEGREES OF
FURTHER COOLING ACROSS NORTHWEST NEBRASKA...AND 5 BELOW OR SO CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS SHERIDAN COUNTY.

AS MENTIONED THE UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BEGINS TO BUILD
EAST THURSDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR MILD PACIFIC AIR TO BEGIN FLOWING
EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS. H850MB TEMPS REACH 0C TO 3C
FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD
SEE ALL LOCALS REACH INTO THE 40S BY AFTERNOON. WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE
WIND COMPONENT AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH WILL AID IN THE WARM UP.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 254 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015

MODELS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE MID AND LONG TERM SOLUTIONS
AND HAVE GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST.

UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES ITS SOUTH AND EAST PROGRESSION AND BLOCK
DEVELOPS OVER THE WEST COAST. GULF OF MEXICO REMAINS CLOSED
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH WEST WINDS AND A RELATIVELY DRY AIR MASS
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 50S BY SATURDAY. WEAK BACKDOOR
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN PLAINS SATURDAY WITH BASICALLY A
WIND SHIFT LINE AND MAYBE SOME HIGH BASED VIRGA. TEMPERATURES
SLIGHTLY COOLER TO THE NORTHWEST WITH REMNANTS OF SNOW. SUNDAY
SIMILAR WITH WEAK SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH. TEMPERATURES APPROACHING
60 OVER SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. WARMER AIR
MOVES EAST INTO FORECAST AREA SUNDAY NIGHT MONDAY ON BACKSIDE OF
UPPER TROUGH. TEMPERATURES SOAR INTO THE 60S OVER ALL OF WESTERN
NEBRASKA. TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S THROUGH MID WEEK AND DRY. MODELS
DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 540 PM CST WED MAR 4 2015

NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY 02Z THIS EVENING. THROUGH
THIS TIME...WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KTS ARE LIKELY. OVERNIGHT...EXPECT
WEST AND SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT UNDER 10 KTS. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY
CLEAR WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS MOVING INTO NORTHERN NEBRASKA THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...POWER
SHORT TERM...TAYLOR
LONG TERM...POWER
AVIATION...CLB