Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 261738

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1238 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

Light snow or flurries over western Nebraska early this morning are
expected to end by sunrise as the upper closed low over the Dakotas
shifts east. Tight surface pressure gradient will keep strong
northwest winds over western Nebraska today with clearing skies from
southwest to north central through the day. Temperatures rising into
the 50s over southwest Nebraska again today with mid 40s north in
the stronger cold air advection and where clouds linger through the
day. Increasing clouds from the west tonight with a wave moving out
of Montana. Some weak lift through the early morning but low level
moisture limited. Have left forecast basically dry over the
southwest but have a mix over the eastern Nebraska Panhandle late.
Clearing skies and cold air advection continuing over night
temperatures to fall into the mid 20s to around 30 over most of
western Nebraska. Time of the year no highlights carried for

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

Active weather continues on Thursday as a series of shortwaves pivot
across the central Plains. For the most part, rain will be only
major concern with these systems as severe/thunderstorm potential
will be low. At this time, most locations will see a total of a half
inch to one inch of new rainfall through Saturday. The only other
concern for these systems will be the chance for snow across
portions of the forecast area during the early morning hours. Snow
development will depend mostly on how much cold air can filter into
the region and how far south the cold air can push. At this time,
the best chance for most locations to see snow will be early
Saturday morning as overnight lows drop into the upper 20s and low
30s. For Friday morning, snow chances will be confined to the
northern half of the forecast area as temperatures will remain too
warm across the south. At this time, snow accumulations will be
light. A total of around an inch is possible Friday morning and
under a half inch on Saturday morning across the eastern Panhandle.
Even though there`s a better chance for snow Saturday morning due to
the colder temperatures, less precipitation is forecasted which will
limit the snow totals.

A brief dry period returns for Sunday and Monday as weak upper level
ridging builds across the central US. Dry weather will be
accompanied by a warming trend as well for Sunday and Monday. After
several days of highs only in the upper 40s and low 50s,
temperatures will rise into the 50s on Sunday and the 60s on Monday.

Precipitation chances return for Tuesday and Wednesday as an upper
level trough digs into the northern and central Plains. Temperatures
will be warm enough by mid-week to keep all precipitation as rain.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1224 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2017

Latest satellite imagery shows sky cover improving from southwest
NEB towards the central Sandhills wherein stratocu with MVFR
ceilings are present across roughly the northeast-half of the
local forecast area. This trend will continue through the
afternoon across the remainder. Otherwise, breezy northwest winds
are present with gusts largely between 20-30 mph.

Tonight, increasing clouds across western NEB into much of north
central NEB with low-end VFR ceilings (10 kft or less)
developing/spreading eastward mainly after midnight. Winds
lessening and becoming light by mid evening. Easterly winds
increasing tomorrow mid-morning to early afternoon. While
generally dry conditions are expected tonight, increased chances
for rain showers tomorrow with the greatest potential across
southwest NEB and the eastern NEB Panhandle.




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