Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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907
FXUS63 KICT 250418
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1118 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 314 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017

Tonight through Wednesday:

Heat will continue to build across the area through Wednesday, in
association with an upper high strengthening over Kansas. Progged
1000-850 thickness values suggest adding 1-2 degrees each day, with
Wednesday likely the hottest day with prefrontal, compressional
warming effects and the strongest boundary layer mixing
potential. Highs Wednesday of 100-105 appear likely in south-
central Kansas. Heat indices of 100-105 are possible Tuesday and
Wednesday afternoon across much of the forecast area, and more
heat headlines are a possibility.

Isolated storms may develop late Wednesday afternoon in central
Kansas, with a cold front impinging on the area, providing low-
level convergence.

Wednesday night-Thursday night:

A cold front will push slowly southward through the forecast area,
with scattered storms possible, along and especially just on the
cool side of the boundary. A few strong storms with wind gusts to
around 50 mph are possible Wednesday afternoon and night, with large
downdraft CAPE likely, in the hot, well-mixed prefrontal environment.
Scattered storm chances could linger into Thursday, mainly in the
south. Cooler temperatures are expected behind the front Thursday.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 314 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017

The upper high will shift back over the southwestern states, with
weak, mean upper troughing over the eastern CONUS. The front will
push well southward out of the area for the weekend, with relatively
light easterly winds. This should keep temperatures around, or a
couple of degrees lower than seasonal climatological averages.
Mainly dry weather is anticipated in this pattern.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1117 PM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017

VFR conditions will prevail across central/southern Kansas for the
next 24hrs. South winds will increase across the region Tuesday
afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    73  99  77 104 /   0  10  10  10
Hutchinson      71  99  77 105 /   0  10  10  20
Newton          71  97  76 103 /   0  10  10  10
ElDorado        71  97  76 100 /   0  10   0  10
Winfield-KWLD   72  98  76 101 /  10  10  10   0
Russell         72 100  77  99 /  10  10  20  30
Great Bend      71  99  76 102 /  10  10  10  30
Salina          73 101  79 104 /  10  10  10  30
McPherson       71  98  76 105 /   0  10  10  20
Coffeyville     71  97  75  97 /  10  10   0  10
Chanute         70  95  75  97 /   0   0   0  10
Iola            70  95  74  96 /   0   0   0  10
Parsons-KPPF    71  96  75  97 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JMC
LONG TERM...JMC
AVIATION...CDJ



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