Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 031141
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
641 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2015

...UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2015

CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT HOT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY
SOUTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL THIS PERIOD...AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
REMAINS HIGHLY AMPLIFIED AND CENTERED ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
THIS WILL ALSO RESULT IN DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE
AREA...WITH NO SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN SIGHT FOR KANSAS UNTIL
SUNDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2015

LONG RANGE MODELS SHOW A MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN SHAPING UP
FOR SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK...AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS
EASTWARD WITH A COUPLE UPPER LEVEL WAVES MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS. THIS WILL PUSH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD INTO KANSAS THUS
BECOMING A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ON SUNDAY.
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LOOKS TO STALL/LINGER OVER THE REGION FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO FLATTEN
OUT SOME HEADING TOWARDS MID-WEEK. MODEST RAIN CHANCES COULD BE
THE RESULT...AS A COUPLE UPPER LEVEL WAVES MOVE OUT ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS AND INTERACT WITH THE LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

JAKUB

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 640 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL SITES THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EAST THIS MORNING. GUSTY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. SOME
INCREASE IN MID CLOUDS ANTIPATED TONIGHT. -HOWERTON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    95  73  95  73 /   0   0   0  10
HUTCHINSON      96  73  96  72 /  10  10   0  10
NEWTON          94  72  94  72 /   0   0   0  10
ELDORADO        93  72  92  72 /   0   0   0   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   94  73  93  73 /   0   0  10   0
RUSSELL        100  73  98  73 /  10  10  10  10
GREAT BEND      98  73  97  73 /  10  10  10  10
SALINA          98  74  95  73 /  10  10  10  10
MCPHERSON       96  72  95  72 /  10  10   0  10
COFFEYVILLE     89  71  88  72 /   0   0   0  10
CHANUTE         89  71  88  71 /   0   0  10  10
IOLA            89  71  88  71 /   0   0  10  10
PARSONS-KPPF    89  71  88  71 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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