Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 302025
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

THIS AFTERNOON A STATIONARY FRONT CURVED FROM FAR WEST TX ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL OK TO THE AR/MO BORDER. THIS HAS RESULTED IN RAINY & VERY COOL
WEATHER FOR KICT COUNTRY WHERE TEMPERATURES HAVING BEEN RUNNING ON
TREAD MILLS WITH READINGS FROM 65 TO 70 DEGREES IN MOST AREAS. COOLEST
HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS MAY BE SET.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

TONIGHT:
THE STATIONARY FRONT MENTIONED IN "SYNOPSIS" WILL GET FORCED SE TOWARD
THE RED RIVER (NO DOUBT AS A COLD FRONT) AS A COMPACT MID-LEVEL SHORT
WAVE PUSHES SE ACROSS CENTRAL OK...REACHING THE OK/AR BORDER EARLY THU
MORNING. THE WIDESPREAD LIGHT RAIN OCCURRING ACROSS THE NEIGHBORHOOD
WILL VERY SLOWLY END IN A NW-SE MANNER WITH LIGHT RAIN CONFINED TO FAR
SOUTHEAST KS BY DAYBREAK. EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER SHOULD PREVENT RECORD
LOWS FROM BEING REALIZED IN ALL AREAS.

THU:
SOME "WRAP-AROUND" LIGHT RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPARTING MID-LEVEL
SHORTWAVE MAY CLIP FAR SOUTHEAST KS & AS SUCH HAVE RETAINED ~20% POPS
TO THESE AREAS. A VERY STABLE AIRMASS WOULD PREVENT THUNDERSTORMS FROM
DEVELOPING.

FRI-SAT NIGHT:
EXCELLENT WEATHER AWAITS THE NEIGHBORHOOD AS A STRONG...MASSIVE UPPER
DECK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SPREADS SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES. AMPLE
SUN WOULD ENABLE HIGHS TO REACH 85-90F ACROSS ALL AREAS FRI & SAT.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

NICE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL AREAS UNTIL NEXT WED WHEN THE NEXT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ARRIVE. A WEAK-MODERATE MID-LEVEL TROF
MOVING SE FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS SHOULD REACH EASTERN PARTS OF SD &
NEBRASKA ON WED. THE ATTENDANT SE-MOVING COLD FRONT MAY REACH CENTRAL
KS LATE WED AFTERNOON. ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP SHOULD DO
SO WELL TO THE N & NE OF THE NEIGHBORHOOD FROM THE DAKOTAS & NEBRASKA
TO ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1238 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

UPPER SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEAST...BRINGING SLOW
END TO PRECIPITATION. WHILE NAM SEEMS TO HAVE BEST HANDLE ON
PRECIPITATION EVOLUTION SO FAR...BUT ITS BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE
SEEMS A BIT OVERDONE RELATIVE TO CURRENT CEILINGS/CLOUDS. THAT
SAID...DO EXPECT CONTINUED DETERIORATING CONDITIONS WHERE
PRECIPITATION PERSISTS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF IFR
AND EXTENDED PERIODS OF MVFR. WITH CLEARING LATE THIS AFTERNOON/
EVENING...COULD SEE FOG DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT. NAM BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE FORECASTS SUGGESTS THE MAIN THREAT FOR MORE EXTENSIVE FOG
WILL BE ALONG/EAST OF I-35. -HOWERTON

&&

.CLIMATE...
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

RECORD COOLEST HIGHS FOR TODAY (JUL 30TH):

CHANUTE: 72 IN 1971
WICHITA: 73 IN 1903
RUSSELL: 77 IN 1990
SALINA:  76 IN 1971

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    60  83  62  88 /  50   0   0  10
HUTCHINSON      60  84  63  88 /  30   0   0  10
NEWTON          59  83  62  87 /  30   0   0  10
ELDORADO        60  83  62  85 /  50   0   0  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   60  82  62  86 /  80  20   0  10
RUSSELL         60  84  63  88 /   0   0   0  10
GREAT BEND      59  83  63  88 /  10   0   0  10
SALINA          59  87  62  89 /  10   0   0  10
MCPHERSON       59  84  62  88 /  20   0   0  10
COFFEYVILLE     60  82  61  86 /  80  40   0  10
CHANUTE         60  83  61  86 /  60  10   0  10
IOLA            60  83  61  85 /  40  10   0  10
PARSONS-KPPF    60  82  61  86 /  80  30   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

ES





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