


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS
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025 FXUS63 KICT 301148 AFDICT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wichita KS 648 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Numerous showers and storms will linger over mainly southern/southeast Kansas during the morning hours with heavy rainfall as the primary risk - Dry weather with less humidity expected on Tuesday and Wednesday - Next chance of storms will be for Friday and Saturday, severe weather is possible && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 223 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Numerous showers and storms will continue to develop through the early morning hours with low level jet/moisture transport focused over central/south central Kansas. Meanwhile another complex of storms over northern Kansas is being driven by an upper level wave pivoting east across the Dakotas/Nebraska. This activity will collide into on-going activity over the area. There is some potential for severe storms in central Kansas early this morning but things should transition to mainly a heavy rain/flooding threat given very high precipitable water airmass that is being overturned by numerous slow moving storms. The showers/storms will gradually shift south of the area by late this morning, as the upper level trough pivots east across the central plains today. Surface high pressure will then build southward into Kansas and bring slightly cooler/drier air(less humidity) to the region for Tuesday and Wednesday. The dry weather pattern is expected to continue through Thursday along with temperatures gradually warming back into the 90s. Heading into Friday models remain consistent showing a upper level wave ejecting from the Rockies and moving eastward across the central plains. This will bring the next chance of storms to Kansas and some of them could become strong/severe Friday afternoon/night. The chances of storms will continue for Saturday as models show the frontal boundary still lingering over Kansas. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 637 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 A line of thunderstorms is moving to the southeast at around 40 mph this morning. It remains uncertain if this line of storms will make it to CNU or dissipate before it reaches the airport hence only a PROB30 is in the CNU TAF at this time. This line of storms is weakening but gusty winds out of the northwest are possible along with frequent lightning. An area of light rain will follow the line of storms however impacts will be minimal from the light rain. Once the thunderstorms dissipate late this morning VFR conditions will return to all terminals through the remainder of this TAF period with light northwest winds. Winds will become light and variable overnight. && .ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...CDJ AVIATION...WI