Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 042323
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
623 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 234 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

Deep upper-level ridge over the Rockies will be the dominant weather
feature for the next 2-3 days as it gradually shifts eastward into
the Plains. Subsidence within this feature will provide mostly clear
skies through Friday, while temperatures rise to near 80 degrees by
Friday and Saturday as the upper ridge inches eastward.

Upper ridge will break down over the weekend, allowing a cold front
to drop in from the north late Saturday while a deep upper-level
trough deepens to the west. This front will stall and become quasi-
stationary somewhere across our area Sunday and Monday, setting the
stage for a more active weather pattern early next week as the upper
trough to the west begins to track eastward. Several waves ejecting
out ahead of this trough and interacting with the boundary will
likely result in several rounds of rain and thunderstorms beginning
as early as Saturday afternoon and lasting through Monday or Tuesday.
The better chances for any heavy rain and/or strong storms through
this time are probably Sunday night or Monday when the main upper
trough moves into the Plains, but a lot of smaller-scale details will
need to be determined before we can really start addressing these
threats.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 623 PM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

High pressure building into the area will ensure VFR conditions
through the forecast. While winds may be in the 10 to 20 mph range at
forecast issuance, they are expected to fall below 10 mph within an
hour or two and remain light through the remainder of the forecast.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&

$$

Discussion...Hawblitzel
Aviation...CDB



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