Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
FXUS63 KEAX 010737
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
237 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015
Issued at 237 AM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015
Generally quiet weather continues for the rest of the week with a
persistent upper level trough over the West Coast and downstream
ridging over the eastern U.S. This will keep the primary flow of
Pacific moisture and precipitation chances streaming across the
southwest states and into the High Plains and Upper Mississippi
Valley. Some of this activity could brush far northwest Missouri Weds
and Weds night, otherwise precipitation chances will stay well to our
west and northwest through the week. Continued SSW low-level flow
will mean very little change in 850 hPa temperatures through the
week, and a broken-record-like forecast with highs near 90 each day.
The upper ridge will eventually break down a bit by Monday or Tuesday
next week, gradually allowing a cold front to sag into the region.
This will bring the only decent chance for precipitation for the next
7 days, although models continue to trend a bit slower and further
north with this system.
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1130 PM CDT MON AUG 31 2015
VFR conditions will persist through the forecast period. Steady winds
out of the south will increase Tuesday afternoon with gusts just over
20kts at times. MVFR fog development at KSTJ early Tuesday morning is
trending less likely, but will hold on to the previously forecast
chance for development for the time being as conditions do still
favor patchy fog as winds decrease locally overnight.