Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 031124

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
624 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

Issued at 409 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

Areas of fog have developed overnight generally along and
southeast of a Kirksville to St. Joseph line. A few of these
locations, especially across the extreme southeast portion of the
CWA where skies remain clear, have seen visibilities dropping below
a 1/4 mile at times. Expect fog to begin to mix out around 13Z;
however, with light winds expected for much of the day, fog may
linger a bit longer in some locations.

A trough digging towards the northern Southern Plains will bring a
few clouds to the area today, but otherwise dry weather is finally
here. Despite the trough moving through the region today, daytime
highs should still be able to climb into the upper 60s due in part
to surface ridging still in place. A weak cold front will swing
through Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, but with limited cold
air behind the front, afternoon temperatures will be able to quickly
rebound into the upper 60s and low 70s. A few showers may develop
across north-central Missouri as the front moves through, but with
main vort max east of the CWA, the bulk of any convective
development will also remain east.

Upper level trough positioned across the Northeast and another
trough inland along the California coast, will allow upper level
ridging to build over the west-central US. Even with the CWA in more
of the northwest flow pattern, temperatures will gradually warm
through the week...approaching the upper 70s and maybe low 80s by
Friday. Ridge will begin to break down Friday evening and Saturday
as western trough begins to eject into the Great Basin. This system
will be our next decent shot for rain chances Sunday into Monday.


.Aviation...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday Morning)
Issued at 610 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

Fog will begin to dissipate between 13-14Z this morning. Otherwise,
VFR conditions will prevail through the remainder of the period.
Scattered cu deck will develop by early this afternoon and will
persist overnight as a weak cold front approaches the region from the
north. Winds will remain light through the prevailing period.


.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning for MOZ031>033-



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