Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FXUS63 KEAX 052057
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
257 PM CST Tue Dec 5 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 257 PM CST TUE DEC 5 2017

Cold air advection continuing across the region this afternoon
following yesterday`s cold frontal passage. Winds gusting up to 30
mph combined with dry surface fuels and low humidity have
resulted in another afternoon of elevated fire concerns, however
current temps in the 40s will hopefully keep this threat in check.
Heading into the overnight, expect the passage of another lobe of
energy aloft, however with very little moisture to work with, its
passage will be marked with little more than increasing mid-level
cloud cover aloft. Early morning lows Wednesday should drop into
the upper 20s to lower 30s.

Broad northwest flow to prevail over the region tomorrow with
breezy northwest surface winds. Models highlight light QPF across
western portions of the forecast area Wednesday afternoon as
another lobe of energy rotates over the area, however BUFKIT
forecast soundings show very dry low-level conditions. In any
event, a passing sprinkle or two cannot be ruled out, and a
mention has been added with this afternoon`s forecast package. The
bigger story will arrive Wednesday night when a secondary shot of
cold air surges south over the lower Missouri Valley following
the passage of a reinforcing cold front. Its passage will mark the
beginning of below normal temperatures which will persist through
the conclusion of the work week.

Dry conditions to continue through the upcoming weekend as
northwest flow prevailing aloft. Temperatures should begin to
moderate both Saturday and Sunday as southerly low-level flow
returns to the area. The next chance for precip looks to arrive
Monday night into Tuesday as the next wave passes aloft.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1139 PM CST TUE DEC 5 2017

VFR conditions expected through the fcst period as high pressure
continues to settle into the area. Gusty WNW winds up to 28 kts
this afternoon will begin to weaken slightly this evening, before
changing to the northwest after 12z. Scattered midlevel clouds
centered around 8 kft will move into the area late this afternoon
and persist through much of the overnight hours before clearing
after daybreak.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...32
Aviation...32



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