Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FXUS63 KEAX 202319
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
619 PM CDT Thu Apr 20 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 410 PM CDT THU APR 20 2017

Cold front has moved through the area, leaving all of northeast
Kansas and northwest Missouri in a drier and cooler air mass for the
next several hours. Expect cooler temperatures over the next several
days as north/northeast winds keep cool air flowing into the area.
The next chance for rain across the area comes Friday into Saturday
as a mid/upper wave rolls through the Central Plains. The surface
wave will push just south of the area, which will limit the amount
of instability present across the area as most of the moisture will
be in the mid levels. The gradient between the heavier rain amounts
to the south and the lower rain amounts to the north will be rather
tight, with areas south of HWY 36 perhaps receiving over an inch of
rain, with areas closer to the Ozarks receiving several inches of
rain. North of Interstate 70, areas will likely only receive minor
amounts of rain, perhaps as low as a tenth to a quarter of an inch
through Saturday. While some isolated stream or flash flooding is
possible with this activity, it`s unlikely that any widespread
flooding in northern or central Missouri will occur. By Saturday
night the system moves east of the area, and dry weather persists
until the middle part of next week, when another large trough digs
into the Mountain West and eventually ejects eastward.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening)
Issued at 615 PM CDT THU APR 20 2017

VFR conditions expected at terminal space. Gradual wind direction
will veer from north to northeasterly. Increasing mid-level
cloudiness projected to move into the area overnight. MVFR cigs
and precipitation chances should remain south of terminals through
this forecast period.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Leighton
Aviation...Blair



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