Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO
FXUS63 KEAX 210444
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1144 PM CDT Thu Oct 20 2016
Issued at 405 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2016
Tonight through Tuesday...
A very quiet and benign period. The only immediate concern is the
potential for areas of frost to form over much of northern MO during
the pre-dawn hours of Friday morning. Clear skies, light or calm
winds and temperatures in the middle 30s should result in areas of
After a cool start on Friday under weak high pressure expect to see
a warmup over the weekend that extends through Tuesday. Warm air
advection will commence as surface pressure falls develop across the
Plains as upper level ridging expands across the Rockies and into
the Plains. Lacking moisture we should see decent diurnal
A weak cold front will push through Sunday night but no sensible
weather issues expected, just a minor col down for Monday. By
Tuesday mid/upper level moisture will begin to spread in from the
west ahead of the next weather maker
Tuesday night - Thursday...
Medium range models have come into better agreement with a shortwave
trough tracking east across the Central Plains. While low level
moisture return will be limited due to weak return flow out of the
western Gulf of Mexico there should be sufficient moisture carried
in from the Pacific plus enough lift to support at least scattered
convection. Don`t expect mush of a cool down in the post frontal
airmass as a maritime airmass will push into the region.
.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 1122 PM CDT THU OCT 20 2016
Aside from a few possible passing low-level clouds, skies will remain
mostly clear overnight. Winds will vary in direction initially before
gradually turning southerly by the mid morning hours Friday.
Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail through the period.
KS...Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM CDT Friday for KSZ102.
MO...Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM CDT Friday for MOZ001>008-