342
FXUS63 KEAX 271620
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1120 AM CDT Tue Sep 27 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 403 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

The much advertised quiet pattern will continue across the area
through the rest of the week and likely into the weekend. At the
surface and in the low levels dry conditions will preclude any real
precipitation even with the presence of any mid level features to
provide lift. That being said, with the deep trough becoming a quasi-
stationary feature over the Ohio River Valley as well as another
trough over the west coast of the CONUS, an omega blocking pattern
will emerge through the short and mid ranges of the forecast period.
The combination of the dry conditions as well as large scale
subsidence with the mid level ridging means no chances for rain
until that blocking pattern can break down. There is evidence of
that blocking pattern breaking down while a strong trough makes
progress eastward likely early next week. There will be some chances
for rain across eastern Kansas and western Missouri in the
Monday/Tuesday/Wednesday time frame. In the meantime, near seasonal
normal temperatures will reign, making for a very pleasant
week/weekend.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1118 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

VFR conditions will continue with the clear sky trend persisting
through the period. Westerly winds will turn northerly tonight as a
deep upper-low over the Great Lakes sinks southward.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Leighton
Aviation...Welsh