Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FXUS63 KEAX 010940
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
340 AM CST Wed Mar 1 2017

.Discussion...
Issued at 339 AM CST WED MAR 1 2017

The cold front hat pushed through the area last night and brought
severe weather has shifted well to the east this morning. The upper
level trough associated with this system will move through the area
today. At the surface, strong cold air advection behind the
departing front will return temperatures to near normal today with
highs in the mid 40s to mid 50s. High pressure will build into the
region tonight but will quickly be shunted south by another fast
moving shortwave that will move from the Upper Midwest into the
northern Ohio River Valley on Thursday. Precipitation associated with
this shortwave should remain north and east of the area however we
may see a few more clouds across the northeastern CWA keeping highs
in the upper 40s while elsewhere highs will rise into the 50s.
Another surface ridge of high pressure will move into the area
Thursday night before shifting east of the area by Friday afternoon.
WAA will get underway on the backside of the retreating high and,
despite the cool start to the day, temperatures will rise into the
upper 40s to near 60.

As we move into the weekend, weak upper level ridging will build
into the region in response to a upper level trough digging into the
Pacific Northwest. This couple with strong WAA on Saturday will
allow temperatures to return to well above normal with highs in the
mid 60s. WAA continues into Sunday will temperatures further rising
into the mid 60s to lower 70s. By Monday, the aforementioned upper
level trough over the Pacific Northwest will have moved into the
eastern Rockies with a associated cold front developing over the
central Plains. Out ahead of this front, Gulf moisture will begin to
stream into the area bringing the next chance for showers. However,
even despite the showers and cloud cover, temperatures will still
rise into the mid 60s to lower 70s. The cold front will push through
the area Monday night bringing another chance for showers and
thunderstorms however, temperatures behind the front on Tuesday will
still remain above normal with highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s.


&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1122 PM CST TUE FEB 28 2017

MVFR cigs have moved into the terminals in the wake of a cold
front that moved thru earlier in the evening. This MVFR cigs btn
1-2kft will cont to affect the terminals thru 09Z before conds are
expected to become VFR. Winds thru 00Z will be strong out of the
NW btn 15-20kts with gusts to 30 kts before dmshg to 5-10kts durg
the evening.


&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...73
Aviation...73



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