Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 192002

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
302 PM CDT Wed Oct 19 2016

Issued at 300 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

A weak and diffuse cold front will move through area tonight.
Initially this will be nothing more than just a wind shift to the
more of due north direction. But cooler air will build southward
into the area through the day such that temperatures will be a bit
below normal with highs in the lower to middle 60s. The high
pressure associated with this cooler air will help keep temperatures
cool through Friday. As the high shifts to the east, winds will
swing back to the south and allow for temperatures to warm up closer
to or above normal for the weekend. Highs Saturday and Sunday should
top out in the middle 70s. Moisture will be slower to work north so
the warmer days will be accompanied by chilly mornings as lows fall
into the upper 40s and lower 50s.

Our next chance for precipitation isn`t expected until the middle
part of next week as rich enough moisture streams back into the
area. This should occur as upper level flow becomes more
southwesterly with a ridge over the Southeast and deepening trough
moving into the West Coast. Persistent southerly low level flow over
the center part of the country will help advect moisture northward
and eventually lead to good chance for precipitation as a weak,
possibly leading shortwave trough moves through. The main trough
doesn`t look to move east into the Plains until later in the week.


.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 1157 AM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

VFR conditions are expected through the forecast with only broken to
scattered high level clouds. Lower ceilings will occur from
southwestern MO through east central MO in association with a stalled
frontal boundary. Thunderstorm chances will also be tied to the
stalled front and will not impact our terminals. Winds will trend to
the north but remain light overnight as a weak front moves through
the area.




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