Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FXUS63 KEAX 241144
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
544 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

.Discussion...
Issued at 309 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2018

Radar imagery as of early this morning depicts widespread radar
echoes across the forecast area, predominantly drizzle or light rain
with embedded heavier shower convective elements. At the surface,
the freezing line generally resides along the Highway 36 corridor.
The Winter Weather Advisory remains unchanged from previous forecast
as this zone will have the greatest chance for light ice
accumulations. These accumulations on the order of a few hundredths
of an inch will occur on elevated surfaces where the temperature
remains at or below freezing, with lesser amounts on the ground and
roadways. Elsewhere, light rain is expected this morning, with a
possible lull in the activity during the late morning and midday
time frame. Nearly a 20-degree high temperature spread will exist
across the forecast area, with middle 30s in far NW MO to the middle
50s in central MO. The final round of precipitation is expected
during the afternoon hours as a strong upper wave approaches eastern
Kansas and an attendant surface cold front pushes through the area.
Elevated instability will support a few rumbles of thunder, mainly
across the eastern half, with the largest pool of instability
remaining to the south of the area. Rain will quickly end from west
to east during the evening hours, with skies beginning to clear a
few hours later.

Tranquil weather and a warming trend can be expected Sunday into
Tuesday. Temperatures will be above normal each day, with
afternoon readings reaching the 60s by Tuesday across most areas.
Another strong upper wave will reach the region by mid-week,
giving a good chance at additional precipitation, including a few
thunderstorms, Tuesday night into Wednesday night.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday Morning)
Issued at 522 AM CST SAT FEB 24 2018

IFR to occasional LIFR conditions will continue this morning
before some improvement during the afternoon. While precipitation
should end by mid-morning, another round will return during the
early/mid afternoon. Thereafter, steadily improving conditions
with an eventual return to VFR is expected.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST today for KSZ025-102.

MO...Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST today for MOZ001>008-
     011>017-020.

&&

$$

Discussion...Blair
Aviation...Blair



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