Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 152226

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
526 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

An upper level ridge will remain over the western US through the
next couple days. This will result in high pressure bringing dry and
quiet weather across north central Nebraska. Milder temperatures
return as well for next week and warm air gets advected into the
central US. Clear skies overnight will allow temperatures for Sunday
night to drop into the low 30s. However, sunny skies will result in
afternoon temperatures to easily rise into the mid 70s on Monday.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

Models in fair agreement showing some variability in the strength of
features and timing through the extended periods. The constants
remain the warm dry ridge with Pacific air, that will dominate the
northern and central plains through the week and the closed Gulf
of Mexico through mid to late week. Upper ridge over the southern
CONUS not as dominant as it had been in yesterdays runs of the
extended and transitions from a northwest flow to a more zonal
flow mid week. A weak cool front wind shift line moves through on
Wednesday with temperatures cooling somewhat but still in the 70s.
Gulf also begins to open Wednesday with return flow from the high
over the southeast CONUS drawing moisture north across the
southern into the central high plains. Warm air advection and
moisture advection continues ahead of a broader upper trough
heading across the Rockies Friday and onto the high plains
Saturday pushing a stronger cool front across western Nebraska
through the day on saturday with increased chances of
precipitation through the weekend and temperatures near normal in
the 60s.

Drier conditions Monday and Tuesday with warm dry southwesterly
flow will push relative humidity from 15 to 20 percent range.
Question of cured fuels and stronger winds will be limiting
factors. Then low level moisture returns Wednesday night into the


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 525 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

VFR conditions will persist through the TAF period. Latest
satellite imagery shows clear skies over NEB. Light northwest
breezes with a few gusts to 20-25 MPH noted over portions of
western and north central NEB at 5 PM CDT. Winds will lessen and
begin turning to the southwest in the evening with winds becoming
light to variable overnight. A weak lee-side surface trough
sharpens tomorrow near the Front Range and this will prompt
modest southwesterly breezes over much of the area with gusts to
20-25 MPH likely, strongest across central and north central NEB.
Elsewhere, winds will be shifting and become more westerly in the
afternoon over northwest NEB and the eastern Panhandle.




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