Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 071001

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
401 AM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 359 AM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

Light snow to continue over southwest Nebraska through the
morning, Inch or less of accumulation expected...If band just to
the south of Imperial moves north. Cold over western Nebraska with
single digits to the north and west...teens south in cloud cover.
Little rebound in temperatures today as highs around 10 northwest
to 20 southwest. Stayed away from blend for the temperatures.
Liked MAV guidance. Lows tonight ranging from 10 below zero Gordon
to 5 above at O`neill. Most of the area will see below zero
temperatures Thursday morning. Stayed away from blended guidance
for winds also and used a NAM solution with northwest winds at 5
to 15 mph through the day. Some apparent temperatures approaching
criteria from Ogallala to Valentine and northwest. Will highlight
in HWO for now.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 359 AM CST Wed Dec 7 2016

Arctic high pressure overhead Thursday with cold temperatures
continuing, highs struggle into the teens to around 20. Should see
some afternoon sun, however the high pressure will result in
lighter winds and the low Dec sun angle will limit mixing of the
boundary layer.

Weak ridging spreads east across the Rockies for Friday with
temps to rise into the 20s to low 30s, which is still below
normal. Meanwhile a trough will dig across the Pacific NW on
Friday. This trough will push across the high plains on Saturday
into Sunday. Temps have trended cooler as the system digs a little
further south. Should see some light precip with the wave, mainly
across northern Nebraska, although a light shift in the track of
the low could drastically change snow amount forecasts.

Active pattern continues with a brief break in the snow, which
returns next week. The highs will also remain around or below
normal into next week.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1131 PM CST Tue Dec 6 2016

A weather system will cross the southern Nebraska Panhandle and
southwest Nebraska tonight through Wednesday morning. Areas of MVFR
ceilings and light snow are likely along and south of interstate
80 late tonight into the first half of Wednesday. Visibilities may
fall as low as 3sm at KLBF between 10z-13z. Conditions will
improve quickly Wednesday afternoon. Northwest winds will
increase by 15z Wednesday to 31015g25kt, especially at KVTN.




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