Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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000
FXUS63 KLBF 052348
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
548 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

AS LOW PRESSURE DROPS SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE OZARKS...LIGHT WESTERLY
WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH PLAINS AND ADJACENT SANDHILLS. WITH
CLEARING SKIES ANTICIPATED...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BACK INTO THE
TEENS FOR MOST LOCATIONS.  A FEW UPPER SINGLE DIGIT READINGS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN RIVER VALLEYS WHERE A DEEP SNOW PACK REMAINS.

FOR SATURDAY...WESTERLY LOWER TROPOSPHERIC FLOW OFF THE HIGH PLAINS
WILL PROMOTE A NOTICEABLE WARMUP.  THE HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST
WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 30S OVER THE DEEP SNOWPACK...TO THE UPPER
40S ACROSS THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST.  HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE
HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON THE AMOUNT OF MIXING...WHICH GIVEN THE
SNOW...WE CONTINUE TO EMPLOY A PESSIMISTIC APPROACH.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

A CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COME OUT OF CANADA AND CROSS
NORTH DAKOTA...MINNESOTA AND THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AN ASSOCIATED
TRAILING FRONT WILL BRING COLD AIR AND STRONG WIND TO CENTRAL AND
WESTERN NEBRASKA. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE WIND WILL BE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 25 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO 45 OR 50 MPH WHICH
IS BELOW THE HIGH WIND THRESHOLD. THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT THE
CRUST ON THE SNOW MAY BREAK LOOSE AND CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW BUT...WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S...THAT APPEARS UNLIKELY.

STARTING TUESDAY...THE TEMPERATURE TREND FROM ONE DAY TO THE NEXT
WILL BE UPWARD WITH LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 546 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

VFR CONDITIONS THE NEXT 24 HRS AT THE KLBF AND KVTN TERMINALS.
ONLY A FEW HIGH CLOUDS PRESENT THROUGH SATURDAY. WEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE AFTER 16Z TO 26013G18KT AT THE TERMINALS.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JACOBS
LONG TERM...SPRINGER
AVIATION...ROBERG


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