Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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241
FXUS63 KLBF 242058
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
258 PM CST Fri Nov 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 257 PM CST Fri Nov 24 2017

The main concern for the rest of Friday will be the continuing
strong northwest winds. Winds will continue to gust to near 30 to 40
mph through mid to late afternoon, before slowly diminishing shortly
after sunset as the pressure gradient relaxes. High pressure will
then quickly build southward into north central Nebraska tonight and
continue through Saturday. Mostly clear skies will return to the
region with light winds expected for Saturday. For temperatures,
overnight lows will be more chilly than the previous night. Lows
will generally range from the mid 20s to the low 30s. Saturday
temperatures will remain mild for November standards, however,
cooler than Friday. Highs will range from the upper 50s across the
north (north of a line from Hay Springs to Lynch) to the upper 50s
to low 60s elsewhere.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 257 PM CST Fri Nov 24 2017

A nice warm ridge builds over the region on Sunday, bumped up
temperatures a few degrees. Areas south of I80 could see high
temperatures in the 70s on Sunday and near 80 on Monday, which is
about 35 degrees above normal for this time of year with daily
maximum temperature records in jeopardy. Also on Monday...a
trough will be approaching from the west. The GFS has come into
line with the European closing off a low near the Four Corners and
swinging the system into the Plains on Tuesday Night.

Ahead of this system on Monday, winds will be pretty swift and dry
from the southwest. That combined with record high temperatures and
a dry cold frontal passage could lead to a dangerous day for fires
depending upon the timing of the front.

There will be a small chance for rain and snow as the center of the
low swings into the plains on Wednesday but the better chances lie
to our south at this time.

On the heals of the closed circulation is a northern stream open
wave set to arrive the later half of next week while another closed
low stays to our south...even further south this time. Moisture will
be limited, so POP chances are nil at this point, but the system
will push a re-enforcing cold front across the plains late
Wednesday, which will help temperatures to trend closer to climo,
but at that, still above average.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1146 AM CST Fri Nov 24 2017

The main aviation concern for the rest of Friday will be gusty
northwest winds across the region. Current observations indicate
that winds are already starting to increase across portions of
northern Nebraska. Winds are expected to increase to 30 to 40 knots
across the region by early afternoon before slowly diminishing
throughout the remainder of the afternoon. Winds will drop to near
10 knots by 00Z Saturday and remain under 10 knots through Saturday
morning.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Kulik
LONG TERM...Allen
AVIATION...Kulik



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