Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 250516

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1216 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

Issued at 259 PM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

A closed upper low was located in northeast Utah this afternoon.
Rain showers have developed along the Colorado/Kansas border north
into southwest Nebraska. Other showers continued across central
Nebraska. The cold front is now east of the forecast area. With
overcast skies, temperatures were steady from near 50 in the
northwest, to around 55 across the southeast.


.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 259 PM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

As the upper low lifts into central Wyoming overnight, two
distinct disturbance will move through the forecast area. The
first will move in early evening, while the second moves in late
evening. Likely POPS forecast east of an Ogallala through
Ainsworth line, and categorical across the far southeastern zones.
Where likely POPs or greater exist, new rainfall amounts from a
quarter to half inch are possible. Lows from near 40 northwest to
near 50 far southeastern areas.

On Monday, The upper trough will lift into the western Dakotas and
Nebraska panhandle. Another disturbance is forecast to move from
northwest Kansas into central Nebraska. POPS not as high as the
past few days. Still likely pops across far southeastern zones,
and from 30 to 50 percent northwest into central areas. A cool air
mass in place, as 850 mb temps only 4C to 6C. With overcast skies,
highs only to range from 52 to 56 degrees and north winds 10 to 15

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 259 PM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

The upper trough axis will swing across western Nebraska Monday
night, providing one last shot for showers. The highest chance
will be in the evening from near 60 percent east of Broken Bow
through Atkinson, and 30 to 50 percent to the west. Then mainly a
slight chance east of highway 83 after midnight. Some clearing
late in the eastern panhandle for lows in the upper 30s with
lower to mid 40s further east.

Dry conditions expected Tuesday through Friday as the region
remains on a split flow pattern. Skies will turn mostly sunny
Tuesday as highs warming to near 65. Upper 60s to lower 70s
Wednesday and Thursday, followed by a backdoor cold front and
slightly cooler mid 60s for Friday.

Another upper trough will move across Saturday and Saturday night.
This is more amplified indicated by the 12z Euro model. A slight
chance for showers Saturday evening introduced. Highs into the low
70s Saturday and mid 70s Sunday.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

MVFR cigs will lower into IFR categories tonight and continue
through the day on Monday. Scattered showers will continue over
western and north central Nebraska tonight and move east into
central and eastern Nebraska through the day on Monday. Ceilings
will slowly lift through the day on Monday.




LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...Power is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.