Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 170842

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
342 AM CDT Sun Sep 17 2017

Issued at 340 AM CDT Sun Sep 17 2017

At 08z...A ridge of surface high pressure extended from southeast
Montana into western Nebraska. Skies remained clear most areas with
a few mid clouds moving in from the southwest. Temperatures ranged
from 37 at Chadron and Pine ridge to 48 at Imperial. Isolated
showers have developed in northeast Colorado and scattered showers
and thunderstorms parts of northwest Kansas.


.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 340 AM CDT Sun Sep 17 2017

A weak disturbance from northeast colorado into northwest Kansas will
bring a slight chance for showers to areas south of I80 through mid
morning as an area of cloudiness moves northeast across the. area
today. With 850mb temperatures as cool as 11C in the eat and near
15C far western counties, Highs today will be from 65 to 67 across
the northeast to the upper 60s to near 70 degrees eastern panhandle
and southwest.

A disturbance currently across southern Utah and northern Arizona,
will follow southwesterly flow aloft into western Nebraska this
evening and overnight. A warm front will develop across central
Kansas this evening and lift into northern Kansas overnight. No
favorable focus in the lower levels across western Nebraska tonight,
with the disturbance in the mid levels along with weak instability
the main ingredients for scattered shower and thunderstorm
development. With model difference in location and resulting QPFs,
have lowered pops to about 30 percent for the eastern panhandle and
southwest this evening and in the east after midnight. Lows from the
mid and upper 40s northwest, where skies will begin to clear after
midnight, to the lower 50s central and east where mostly cloudy
skies to persist.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 340 AM CDT Sun Sep 17 2017

A fairly quiet extended period is expected for north central
Nebraska. Current model runs are keeping precipitation out of our
area through the end of next week. The only chance of some rain will
occur on Tuesday night as a cold front gets dragged across the
northern Plains. Current thinking is that the majority of
precipitation will stay north of the Nebraska/South Dakota border.
However, will include a slight chance across our north to account
for any stray showers that make it into the the region. Dry weather
will then continue into Friday. Another chance of rain arrives on
Friday afternoon and evening as another cold front gets dragged
across the central Plains. Thunderstorms are likely with this
system, however, it`s a bit early to determine if severe weather is

For temperatures, highs return into the upper 70s to mid 80s through
Thursday. Temperatures begin to cool off once again towards the end
of next week as the cold front moves across the area. Highs by next
Saturday will only be in the 70s. Lows will generally be in the 50s
through Thursday night before dropping into the mid 40s to low 50s
on Friday night.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1158 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Expect increasing high level cloudiness overnight with scattered
to broken CIGS of 10000 to 12000 FT AGL on Sunday. There is a
small threat for showers across southwestern Nebraska early
Sunday. Since coverage is expected to be isolated at best, will
forgo mention of shras in the 06z TAF fcst. For Sunday night,
there will be an increased threat for showers and thunderstorms
but this is expected to be after 06z Monday.




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